Market, that is the title. Retail earnings rolling out this morning. Economic data showing customers are slowing their spending. October retail sales data shows the slowest growth in about six month. Joining us to break it down is michael mckee, Bloomberg Economic and policy correspondent. Michael we call it getting whacked upside the head here in the colonies. In april, just a 0. 3 gain for the month of october, down from 1. 6 in the month of october, with the pendant was at its worst in april. Only five of 13 categories rose last month, compared with 11 of 13 in the prior month. October andm november seems to be getting worse. Jp morgan economists report that chase card spending has fallen notably in the first part of this month. It is, as they say, really dropping off,. That suggests a weaker month ahead. Who knows what will happen with black friday, if anybody cares about that anymore, but it is a clear americans are cutting back. The actual results come a much less meaningful than
Kind of takes the relief trade, if you will, out of the treasury market. Have a vaccine but have to deal with the rising case counts. Its difficult for Bond Investors to show no caution to the wind. Think about what actually has the chance to survive. Jeff rosenberg is joining us right now. What a week it has been in the market, tested in several fronts. Lets talk about credit first. We have the fed and the treasury having a little bit of a spat over the emergency programs introduced this year. I have to say this market has responded quite well to it. What was your take . The the most important of support measures are not affected, these were not used very much. They were most effective on announcement date, not much uptake. The market is seeing through that, and its a little bit less of a significant Market Reaction because it is less of a significant issue, if those support measures were to fall away. Pointsn as my colleague out, hasnt harmed the appetite for debt. We have been tryin
Ive got to go to the pandemic and the fold in to our foundations of this coming quarter, our foundations to 2021. Youve got to comment on what the eu saidd yesterday. Jonathan a call for more fiscal stimulus across the continent as well. Christine lagarde pretty clear about what she wants to do in december. The colder it gets, the harder it gets in europe. Cases are going up. More restrictions are coming on. Big question for the United States, whats next the deeper we get into winter . Tom weve gone back and forth this morning with differences of opinion. It is a movable feast. I would say that the one item this item as the president adjusts his plans for what he will do Election Night because of the pandemic. He had plans to go to his hotel. He will not. The rumor is he will stay at the white house. Jonathan according to open what the new york times. According to the new york times. Lisa we will get some earnings from exxon mobil, the thirdquarter earnings. The reason i am interested
Well, my view is that were coming into this election and were expecting uncertainty. Youre seeing Institutional Investors hedge against a longer period of volatility following this election. Theres clearly an expectation that perhaps tomorrow night we will not have a decision on who is going to be the president of the United States. With that being said, i think, you know, if you look at positioning into the next six to eight weeks, i think its going to be consistent with what were expecting for next year, which is an improvement in economic growth, perhaps an end or an improvement to the covid19 situation and likely stimulus from either the republicans or the democrats. It will look different depending on whos sitting in the white house and if we get a Democratic Senate but for the most part i think that investors are anticipating some stimulus coming out of this the next two to three weeks could be very choppy if we tonight hadon have that decision but i think investors are instituti
Welcome to squawk box. Im becky quick along with joe kernen and Andrew Ross Sorkin. Futures are indicated higher this morning, triple digit gains for the dow up by about 167 points but yesterday was a big down day for the markets. Dow was down by over 400 points, 1. 4 the s p and nasdaq done evz nasy even more. This morning s p indicated up by about 25 and nasdaq looks like it would open up by over 100 points fairly significant obviously everybody watching what will be happening with the stimulus talks with the deadline that nancy pelosi has said for later today. Lets take a look at the treasury markets ahead of that, you will see that the ten year looks like it is yielding 0. 777 so a little stronger yields for the treasury markets right now but andrew, obviously washington is where people are watching and that is exactly where well go because House Speaker nancy pelosi and Steve Mnuchin are saying that they are making progress in their latest stimulus talks with time running short of