Ive got to go to the pandemic and the fold in to our foundations of this coming quarter, our foundations to 2021. Youve got to comment on what the eu saidd yesterday. Jonathan a call for more fiscal stimulus across the continent as well. Christine lagarde pretty clear about what she wants to do in december. The colder it gets, the harder it gets in europe. Cases are going up. More restrictions are coming on. Big question for the United States, whats next the deeper we get into winter . Tom weve gone back and forth this morning with differences of opinion. It is a movable feast. I would say that the one item this item as the president adjusts his plans for what he will do Election Night because of the pandemic. He had plans to go to his hotel. He will not. The rumor is he will stay at the white house. Jonathan according to open what the new york times. According to the new york times. Lisa we will get some earnings from exxon mobil, the thirdquarter earnings. The reason i am interested
As a learning opportunity for students. We have students involved in the process. We Contact People from North Carolina only. We started doing a statewide poll. Live caller with students being the callers. Now we do online and live caller. With covid because of restrictions we have on campus, we have had to temporarily go to online only. Almost everyienced method of survey people from North Carolina. Fare inw did your polls 2016 . What have you changed . Guest that is a great question. In 2016, the polling average had Hillary Clinton up by 3. 3 . We know that donald trump won the state. We were in the middle that. We recognized that something was wrong with our sampling. We tried to look at who really turned out versus what we were predicting . Theirllsters weight samples to try to predict what the turnout will be. We looked very carefully at that. We adjusted our turnout models based on 2016 and 2018 to get a more accurate model. We adjusted the questions in our survey to try to get a
Poll. Live caller with students being the callers. Now we do online and live caller. With covid because of restrictions we have on campus, we have had to temporarily go to online only. Almost everyienced method of survey people from North Carolina. Fare inw did your polls 2016 . What have you changed . Guest that is a great question. In 2016, the polling average had Hillary Clinton up by 3. 3 . We know that donald trump won the state. We were in the middle that. We recognized that something was wrong with our sampling. We tried to look at who really turned out versus what we were predicting . Theirllsters weight samples to try to predict what the turnout will be. We looked very carefully at that. We adjusted our turnout models based on 2016 and 2018 to get a more accurate model. We adjusted the questions in our survey to try to get at whether people were telling us the truth. In 2016 that an small group of people were not honest about their support for donald trump. Host the latest mer
Together, a podcast. He joins us now to talk about the tar heel state. Why is North Carolina important this year compared to 2016 . Guest it is continuing to become a microcosm of the nation. We are a split nation. We have urban centers that continue to grow and become more democratic. We have our rural areas that are more conservative. Those are shrinking. The state is changing. The economy is changing. Athink it represents microcosm of the entire country. Host where do the polls stand right now . Guest it is razor thin. Most of the polls show joe biden up one to three points the hallway. The real clear politics average is 0. 7 in favor of joe biden. Hase 1976, North Carolina only voted twice for a democratic president. Im in the camp of i will see it when i believe in. I dont think it could not happen, there is a strong chance it could. Host when you take a look at 2016 and the president s victory ere, three Percentage Points, votes. By 173,000 why is this race tight now . Host befor
East bay will be windy at times maybe some gusts over 30 Miles Per Hour down below the 4050 up above already started to see a change in the winds and youll see numbers running in the 2030 mile an hour range across the north bay mountains right now the 31 right now that lets be 33 so discreet 27 spanish flat, so these winds start to ramp up and then notice the direction too coming out of a northerly direction that is that very dry hot wind now developing looks like it will intensify overnight tonight. You see all the color of the Central Valley start to see the winds picking up already. This is going to kind of settle in overnight tonight into early tomorrow morning. So you can see a lot of colors, the red even some purple beginning to show up those are gusts over 40 maybe 50 Miles Per Hour. Now as we head to the middle of the day tomorrow love the winds are going to move a little further to the south so stay blustery in the north bay, but i think picking up in places like the oakland h