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Projection that we present today is very much into parts. Im going to begin with the first part. Starting near term outlook. This chart shows the evolution of Consumer Price inflation and its components since 2018. It shows that inflation has come off the peak in october last year and that it continues to fall over the rest of this year in our near term projection. Thats the piece showed in the shade of part of the chart. This fall can be attributed in large part to a full on contribution from energy. Fuel prices have declined, electricity and gas prices have stabilised, albeit at a higher level. The Dark Orange Bars on this chart show how the contribution from Energy Prices falling and turning negatively in the coming months. Giving off gems price cap on energy and gas bills, we expect inflation to take a further step ....
we still, of course, work out the detail of the inquiry, but we are still. it is still sinking in, to be honest. charges of attempted rape and assault are dropped against manchester united footballer mason greenwood, after a key witnesses withdraws involvement. the oil giant shell reports record annual profits of £32 billion the highest in its 115 year history. and a watchdog urges landlords to act now after tens of thousands of homes were found to have serious damp and mould issues. good afternoon and welcome to bbc news. the bank of england has raised interest rates from 3.5 to 4% their highest level since 2008. the increase will leave millions of households facing higher mortgages at a time when many are already struggling with energy and food bills. the bank also says the uk will enter recession, but it won t be as severe as they predicted last year. the governor of the bank of england, andrew bailey, has been speaking with our economics editor, faisal islam. ....
welcome to the programme. there are tentative signs that inflation is coming under control, and the recession forecast last year will be shallower and shorter than expected. butjust to make sure, the central banks are raising the interest rates again. yesterday it was the fed, today the bank of england increased the base rate, half a point, to 4% the highest it has been in m years. we think inflation will come down rapidly, and a lot of that is down to energy prices, which have fallen rapidly. but i m afraid there are big risks out there which mean that it may not happen in that way. yet we re still seeing stronger pressure from price and wage setting in the economy in the question is, will that start to ease off? coinciding with the bank s decision came a profit announcement from shell and a rather blunt illustration of why we re all getting poorer. the oil and gas giant has reaped profits of £40 billion last year. the taxman has reaped far less. shell said it p ....
Here in a nutshell is that the empirical models illustrate what might happen, wage setting will be based on inflation expectations. the best collective view of the committee is that we don t have enough evidence at certain to be sure that wages will be set in this way. in ourjudgment, upside surprises on wage and inflation will suggest that it will take longer for the second round effects for them to go away than it did for them to appear in response to a sharp rise in prices. interacting with a tight labour market, that is expected to result in a greater resistant in wage inflation. with it,. i also show this chart because the difference between empirical model outputs and the committee s best judgment which is obviously clear ....
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