Projection that we present today is very much into parts. Im going to begin with the first part. Starting near term outlook. This chart shows the evolution of Consumer Price inflation and its components since 2018. It shows that inflation has come off the peak in october last year and that it continues to fall over the rest of this year in our near term projection. Thats the piece showed in the shade of part of the chart. This fall can be attributed in large part to a full on contribution from energy. Fuel prices have declined, electricity and gas prices have stabilised, albeit at a higher level. The Dark Orange Bars on this chart show how the contribution from Energy Prices falling and turning negatively in the coming months. Giving off gems price cap on energy and gas bills, we expect inflation to take a further step down in the july dates will be published in two weeks time. That will come down to around 7 at that point. Following a larger step down in 0ctober s data to around about
Pain it also causes. The background to this is high inflation, we have a sequencing that Around The World, particularly sticky, or at least has been here in the uk. That is why the bank has been increasing Interest Rates to try and curb the spending and get that Inflation Rate down. Should they continue to do that today, on the one hand, we have an Inflation Rate in the uk that has been easing a little, and when you dig into some of the details, to look at Producer Price inflation, thatis look at Producer Price inflation, that is further down the supply chain, that is the price is that manufacturers and factories might be paying, suggestions are it could be coming down quite significantly now. On the other hand, headline inflation, 7. 9 , still four times the Bank Of Englands 2 target. When you strip out energy and food, which can be equally volatile core inflation, they are still not falling by enough, wage growth remains quite high as well, and then there are wage comparisons, and in
Is a rate rise good for you . Really looking forward to speaking to you, to hearing from you this morning, by telephone, by text or social media. Lets get the neatest News Headlines from karishma patel. The Bank Of England is expected to raise its main Interest Rate to 5. 25 at lunchtime. It will be the 14th time in a row its gone up. Inflation has slowed down in the past few months, but is still at nearly 8 four times higher than the official target. Deputy Prime Minister, oliver dowden, says migrants will start to be housed on a barge in dorset in the coming weeks and that inspections are being carried out. They were meant to move in earlier this week but there have been concerns over fire safety and port staff. Ofcom says older viewers are switching away from live tv as part of a record drop in people watching traditional television. The Broadcasting Watchdog says audiences now have an all you can eat buffet of broadcast and online content to choose from. Scientists say a Prehistori
this is not who you thought it was, was it, because she was already so deeply ingrained that the fact he was latino was supposed to be a big deal. he had an ss tattoo on his arm and a swastika on his chest. this guy was not stopped for impersonating in fact he found a bigger community online. that s ben collins describing the online presence for the man who shot and killed eight people saturday in allen, texas. we ll have more on what else we re learning about him and the victims in just a moment. meanwhile in washington president biden will meet with house speaker kevin mccarthy today to discuss the debt ceiling, their first sit down on the issue since february. we ll go through what is expected today come out of this afternoon s talks. and also ahead an update on donald trump s civil rape trial as the case goes to the jury for deliberations later this morning. good morning and welcome to way too early on this tuesday, may 9th. i m jonathan lemire, thanks for sta
and are earning more than ever before. let s start with oil prices, because they ve risen some 20% over the past three weeks. this time last week, prices surged after the oil cartel, opec +, decided it would reduce its combined output by 1.1 million barrels per day. crude prices climbed after the cartel s announcement, but later in the week they steadied, following the latest us and chinese economic data which suggested weaker post pandemic growth. so where are we headed? russ mould, investment research director at aj bell joins me now. i m very excited about this. you are down by the seaside in brighton but actually here today. on the bank holiday we dragged you in. what are your thoughts about oil right now? opec + is seen as this organisation by the white house is not especially helpful when it comes to our outlook for the global economy, cutting production and causing another spike in the price of oil which is very inflationary? it spike in the price of oil which is very