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New artificial intelligence study: Why can't anyone agree on how dangerous AI will be?

New artificial intelligence study: Why can't anyone agree on how dangerous AI will be?
vox.com - get the latest breaking news, showbiz & celebrity photos, sport news & rumours, viral videos and top stories from vox.com Daily Mail and Mail on Sunday newspapers.

Philip Tetlock , Rose Hadshar , Avital Morris , Josh Rosenberg , Ezra Karger , Molly Hickman , Hilary Putnam , Zachary Jacobs , Forecasting Research Institute ,

How Not To Predict The Future - 3 Quarks Daily

How Not To Predict The Future - 3 Quarks Daily
3quarksdaily.com - get the latest breaking news, showbiz & celebrity photos, sport news & rumours, viral videos and top stories from 3quarksdaily.com Daily Mail and Mail on Sunday newspapers.

Molly Hickman , Forecasting Research Institute ,

How do you predict the future? Ask Samotsvety.

What the Samotsvety group can teach us about predicting the future. ....

Republic Of China , Taiwan General , City Of , United Kingdom , Hong Kong , Israel General , New York , United States , Viktor Orban , Henry Kissinger , Dan Gardner , Barbara Mellers , Greg Justice , Jason Matheny , Scott Alexander , Philip Tetlock , Molly Hickman , Chinmay Ingalagavi , Eli Lifland , Peter Scoblic , Elisa Murillo , Misha Yagudin , University Of Maryland , Oxford Future Of Humanity Institute , University Of Chicago , Intelligence Advanced Research Projects Activity ,

Can "superforecasters" predict whether humanity is going extinct?

A group of experts and "superforecasters" try to estimate the probability humans will go extinct by 2100. ....

United States , J Zachary Mazlish , Tegan Mccaslin , Ajeya Cotra , Ezra Karger , Trevor Chow , Basil Halperin , Josh Rosenberg , Bridget Williams , Taylor Smith , Rose Hadshar , Toby Ord , Philip Tetlock , Zachary Jacobs , Molly Hickman , Forecasting Research Institute , Existential Risk Persuasion Tournament , World War , Good Judgement Project , Chicago Fed , Kayla Gamin ,