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New artificial intelligence study: Why can t anyone agree on how dangerous AI will be?

New artificial intelligence study: Why can t anyone agree on how dangerous AI will be?
vox.com - get the latest breaking news, showbiz & celebrity photos, sport news & rumours, viral videos and top stories from vox.com Daily Mail and Mail on Sunday newspapers.

Philip tetlockRose hadsharAvital morrisJosh rosenbergEzra kargerMolly hickmanHilary putnamZachary jacobsForecasting research institute

How Not To Predict The Future - 3 Quarks Daily

How Not To Predict The Future - 3 Quarks Daily
3quarksdaily.com - get the latest breaking news, showbiz & celebrity photos, sport news & rumours, viral videos and top stories from 3quarksdaily.com Daily Mail and Mail on Sunday newspapers.

Molly hickmanForecasting research institute

How do you predict the future? Ask Samotsvety

What the Samotsvety group can teach us about predicting the future.

Republic of chinaTaiwan generalCity ofUnited kingdomHong kongIsrael generalNew yorkUnited statesViktor orbanHenry kissingerDan gardnerBarbara mellersGreg justiceJason mathenyScott alexanderPhilip tetlock

Can superforecasters predict whether humanity is going extinct?

A group of experts and "superforecasters" try to estimate the probability humans will go extinct by 2100.

United statesJ zachary mazlishTegan mccaslinAjeya cotraEzra kargerTrevor chowBasil halperinJosh rosenbergBridget williamsTaylor smithRose hadsharToby ordPhilip tetlockZachary jacobsMolly hickmanForecasting research institute