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Can "superforecasters" predict whether humanity is going extinct?

A group of experts and "superforecasters" try to estimate the probability humans will go extinct by 2100. ....

United States , J Zachary Mazlish , Tegan Mccaslin , Ajeya Cotra , Ezra Karger , Trevor Chow , Basil Halperin , Josh Rosenberg , Bridget Williams , Taylor Smith , Rose Hadshar , Toby Ord , Philip Tetlock , Zachary Jacobs , Molly Hickman , Forecasting Research Institute , Existential Risk Persuasion Tournament , World War , Good Judgement Project , Chicago Fed , Kayla Gamin ,

Project Ideas – Future Fund

Project Ideas – Future Fund
ftxfuturefund.org - get the latest breaking news, showbiz & celebrity photos, sport news & rumours, viral videos and top stories from ftxfuturefund.org Daily Mail and Mail on Sunday newspapers.

United States , Mackenzie Arnold , Beth Barnes , Marc Everin Carauleanu , Paul Christiano , Mark Xu , Konstantin Pilz , Jonas Vollmer , Tegan Mccaslin , Andrew Synder Beattie , Carl Shulman , Toby Ord , Dave Denkenberger , Bioweapons Convention , Research That Can Help Us , Weapons Convention , Economic Experts Panel , Strategic National , Redwood Research , Project Ideas , Unrestricted Advex , Eliciting Latent Knowledge , Project Ideas Competition , Ethan Alley , Kyle Fish , Reflective Processes ,

Book review: "A Thousand Brains" by Jeff Hawkins

LESSWRONG
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Crossposted from the AI Alignment Forum. May contain more technical jargon than usual.
Jeff Hawkins gets full credit for getting me first interested in the idea that neuroscience might lead to artificial general intelligence an idea which gradually turned into an all-consuming hobby, and more recently a new job. I m not alone in finding him inspiring. Andrew Ng claimed
here that Hawkins helped convince him, as a young professor, that a simple scaled-up learning algorithm could reach Artificial General Intelligence (AGI). (Ironically, Hawkins scoffs at the deep neural nets built by Ng and others Hawkins would say: Yes yes, a simple scaled-up learning algorithm can reach AGI, but not ....

United States , Marcus Hutter , Steve Omohundro , Tom Cruise , Enrico Fermi , Tegan Mccaslin , Stuart Russell , Jeff Hawkins , Paul Cisek , Artificial General Intelligence , Athousand Brains , Not Jeff , Brain Is Not An Onion With , Tiny Reptile Inside , Bold Brain , ஒன்றுபட்டது மாநிலங்களில் , மார்கஸ் ஹட்டர் , டோம் கப்பல் , ஸ்டூவர்ட் ரஸ்ஸல் , ஜெஃப் ஹாக்கின்ஸ் , செயற்கை ஜநரல் உளவுத்துறை , ஆயிரம் மூளை , இல்லை ஜெஃப் , சிறியது ஊர்வன உள்ளே , பழையது மூளை ,