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Why transformative artificial intelligence is really, really hard to achieve

A collection of the best technical, social, and economic arguments

Humans have a good track record of innovation. The mechanization of agriculture, steam engines, electricity, modern medicine, computers, and the internet these technologies radically changed the world. Still, the trend growth rate of GDP per capita in the world's frontier ....

United Kingdom , United States , City Of , San Francisco , William Baumol , Eric Helland , Marc Andreessen , Alex Tabarrok , Arjun Ramani , Melanie Mitchell , Friedrich Hayek , Mike Webb , Carlo Ginzburg , J Zachary Mazlish , Yoshua Bengio , Brown Rudnick , Simon Johnson , Basil Halperin , Steven Pinker , Demis Hassabis , David Chalmers , Google Deepmind , Stuart Dreyfus , Taisu Zhang , Dan Wang , Eli Dourado ,

Can "superforecasters" predict whether humanity is going extinct?

A group of experts and "superforecasters" try to estimate the probability humans will go extinct by 2100. ....

United States , J Zachary Mazlish , Tegan Mccaslin , Ajeya Cotra , Ezra Karger , Trevor Chow , Basil Halperin , Josh Rosenberg , Bridget Williams , Taylor Smith , Rose Hadshar , Toby Ord , Philip Tetlock , Zachary Jacobs , Molly Hickman , Forecasting Research Institute , Existential Risk Persuasion Tournament , World War , Good Judgement Project , Chicago Fed , Kayla Gamin ,

Your job is (probably) safe from artificial intelligence

Why predictions of an imminent economic revolution are overstated | Finance & economics ....

United States , San Francisco , South Korea , Stanford University , City Of , United Kingdom , Henry Ford , Erik Brynjolfsson , Jeff Bezos , Robert Solow , Tom Davidson , Basil Halperin , Tyna Eloundou , David Autor , Preston Byrne , Johnd Rockefeller , Mark Andreessen , Robert Fogel , Edward Felten , Brown Rudnick , Mark Zuckerberg , Andreessen Horowitz , University Of California At Irvine , America Bureau Of Labour Statistics , Massachusetts Institute Of Technology , Goldman Sachs ,