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Reporting. if you re a ron paul supporter, it s beginning to look a little difficult to win, but let s count the votes. we ll see how that happens here. as i said earlier, in a close race, you look where the votes are. remember, early on, ron paul was leading. polk county, where des moines is, look at that now. dark red. mitt romney, a couple thousand votes, a little short, a thousand votes plus a little bit lead there. that could prove decisive. romney came back in des moines in the suburbs from early in the evening. and wolf, rick, again, 2008, this is romney county, right out here in the western part of the state. right now rick santorum giving him a run for his money. we talked about woodbury county earlier, this is the largest county in the western part of the state. about 60% of the precincts in. we don t know whether there are bigger precincts out or not. we ll watch as this one plays out. now, what you have right now, the projection, the turnout, we talked about the intensity g ....
118,000 range. but jessica does make an important point. have been even republicans say the intensity gap early on, they want to see that the tea party enthusiasm of 2010 carries over to 2012. so we want to see that number at the the end. that isn t it. but wolf, when you watch this, you see a slight santorum lead. there s a couple things you look for the dynamics. four years ago, we had a two-man race. look at now, you have a three-man race. newt gingrich is winning run county. one of the big stories tonight, regardless of how we end up in the end, ron paul won one county. we don t have the results from that county yet, a tiny county, but look at all that orange of pink, ron paul has spread the map tonight, including over here, in a very important part of the state. watch this year. watch this line i m drawing. you see ron paul, see a little rick santorum just to the west of where i drew the line. that s mitt romney there. why does that matter? you do a then and now. four years ago, t ....
that was a lifetime ago. that was a lifetime ago. but, you know, she made a big point, if she was born in iowa, this was going to be her state. this was going to be so you think she might drop out or, given her money situation? soul searching is what you i think, yes. and if you re rick perry, what justification do you have for going forward? just because you ve got money in the bank? the justification of going forward, i talked to rick perry today. he said he s the only conservative who can mount a national effort, fund-raising effort, against mitt romney. can he make that case after tonight? harder, but we ll see what happens with santorum. see how santorum performs in new hampshire. perry s not going to new hampshire. perry s going to south carolina. southern governor, conservative, a tea party message. look, he understands, he blew it in the early debates. the voters in iowa never forgave him for those gaffes. he s going to try one more time in south ....
Process of narrowing the republican field. and that s important. but truth is, in the long run, what we learn over the next fur hours about gop intensity or lack therefore could well be the night s most important lesson. james carville, dana loesch, ari fleischer to set the stage for the big vote. you re a product of the tea party movement. is the tea party movement as excited, as energized this year as it was in 2010? you re shaking you re head already. already people in camp obama say good. i think it depends how you look at it. tea partiers from everyone that i ve heard and of course there are so many different groups, so every different group has a different opinion. tea partiers are more concerned with beating the white house incumbent. they re more concern with beating obama than excited about a single candidate in the gop field. so that s what we re seeing. what is your biggest question about the intensity gap and whether the republican coalition ....
captions by vitac www.vitac.com under two hours from the start of iowa s presidential caucuses. a vote to shrink the field and perhaps give us a front-runner. mitt romney predicting, quote, we re going win this but his opponents are promising the governor will have a much harder time after tonight. this afternoon the former house speaker newt gingrich told reporters his ads will start drawing, quote, a sharper, clearer contrast with governor romney and on cbs this morning, the former speaker, remember, he s the candidate who keeps promising to stay positive, well, gingrich called romney a liar. are you calling mitt romney a liar? yes. why are you saying he s a lier? this is a man whose staff created the pac, his millionaire friends fund the pac. he pretens he has nothing to do with the pac. it s balogna, he s not telling the american people the truth. it s like a pretense he s a conservative. governor romney s laughing off gingrich s attempt to be more a ....