what would ve happened if he didn t make it because of her live. think of that, how how unfair can you imagine? shannon: chris stirewalt, dana perino here with their predictions about the so-called kavanaugh effect right after the break.
the republican party behind president trump because of what happened to kavanaugh not the only reason, but i do think that the kavanaugh effect was going to have a lasting impact is because if you look at that late august situation, then it goes into late september when the second testimony is heard, he is confirmed by my first saturday of october. i think it does have a lot of a fact. i don t think it will be the final straw for anybody but i do think it d have a motivating effect for republicans across the country. shannon: a lot of them, chris, told us it was one of the best things that happened because it brought them together in a way that was not happening organically at that point. but it did as it brought together the two warring tribesn party. it was on a very important issue for conservatives, may be the most important issue for conservatives, the supreme cour supreme court. then, fortunately for republicans, it was also litigated in a culture war. it was done about me
the president is taking note. what would have happened if he didn t make it because of her lies? think of that, how unfair, can you imagine? chris stierwalled with predictions about the so-called kavanaugh effect after the break.
and what has the president been doing? he s been president for two years and still pushing the anger and division. this may work in the senate map, but i think it s motivating the voters to come out in big numbers. by the way, i want to put up some numbers. we did ask in our nbc wall street journal poll how did the president handle the pipe bombing and synagogue shooting and he was under water in both instances, steve. we ve heard this from some republicans as they lay the ground work to try to explain what happened in the last ten day, they believe that whatever kavanaugh effect had been helping them, that the pipe bombs and the president s handling of it may have taken ahold. there is a thelry that donald trump reaches a point where he does this sort of ultimate trump thing where it s very polarizing and that does sort of galvanize his base, but it also requires this second piece where he
in the primaries of many, many more democrats voting than republicans in the primary response to this and we re seeing a higher number of women voting in the early voting states. none of that seems to me to indicate his hate-filled rhetoric is working. steve, she calls it dangerous and hateful. we talk about the base. the president is keenly focused on the base. he s traveling to seven cities here in the days leading up to the election to focus on the base. what should we make of that? his comprehension of how important the base is versus the reality as we approach the tuesday the s election. the single biggest shift this fall in terms of expectations for election day happen in early to mid october. some people say this was the kavanaugh effect. other people say it was inevitable. but what it was was something that had been true all year on this question of enthusiasm. democrats all year enjoyed a double digit advantage in our