if he s going negative like that, it s usually a sign of some sort of frustration and that might be a race where the kavanaugh effect really made a difference because if i recall the polling i think it was tighter before kavanaugh. but i have a feeling no matter what this isn t going to be the last we hear of beto o rourke s name. is he in the wrong state? you look at all these viral clips of him speaking, he talks about what it means to be texan today and his sense of that state is different from what we might have thought that state is like. he talks about the immigrant population there, the bi-border cities as he calls them down along the u.s./mexico border. he s absolutely in the right state, but he s about 20 years too early. so for the democrats demography is destiny. in 25, 30 years people of color will be the majority, there won t be any single group that
about have the republicans narrowed the energy or the enthusiasm gap, and i don t think so because i think democratic enthusiasm is, you know, in a world record guinness territory. if the kavanaugh seat remained open on election day maybe it would narrow, but now we re back to normal and he wants the referendum on him, ask congressman conor lamb and senator doug jones how that worked out for them. paul butler, i saw you nodding when we were talking about brett kavanaugh. what s your sense of the lingering effects of that in this election? the last polling last weekend couldn t really measure it yet at that point. on that issue in particular what do you think the effect is going to be? conservatives are winning. trump is delivering just what they hoped so they could put aside all of kavanaugh s allegations of sexual misconduct, all of the president s 22 at last count allegations of sexual misconduct against him because the two new supreme court justices now have a majority that will
right. and i think that was a miscalculation by the democrats. i thought the democrats thought that the me too movement would infuriate women that what happened with judge kavanaugh and the allegations of dr. ford would excite their base and would make them determined to come out. we re going to see if that s true. but we do know so far that it seems to have rebounded to the republicans favor. the polls show and once again there we have to be cautious about them, but the polls show that the kavanaugh effect has worked in favor of the republicans. jon: judy miller, judy, thanks, good to talk to you. well, the intense political rhetoric on capitol hill continues to intrude on the private lives of lawmakers. senate majority leader mcconnell confronted by at least one angry protester at a restaurant in louisville, kentucky last night. the man reportedly blasting mcconnell on issues such as social security.
matt rosendale is going to get a big bump out of that. does he go to indiana and west virginia? if he does that s another case he can help bring the candidates across the fin finish line in the end. ed: let s end quickly on the so-called kavanaugh effect. is that real or exaggeration? it is real. i m doing polling in a lot of these races, what i saw immediately following the kavanaugh vote was particularly in states like north dakota, montana missouri, where you had democrats who voted against kavanaugh, even in a state like texas where had you ted cruz who fought and argued for kavanaugh, you saw republican intensity meet or exceed democrat intensity. first time in the 2018 cycle that s occurred. ed: chris wilson, you can certainly see a surge in republican intensity. see how it plays out. we appreciate you coming. in you bet. appreciate you having me. ed: president believes that saudi columnist is dead as secretary of state mike pompeo pushes to give the saudis more time. seems l
care. other polls have shown that. economy, yougov. but trump, he said it s actually my fault they re coming because the economy is so good. so it s another way of subtlety reminding people this economy is mine and you need to show up there. and i think that republicans, when they hear those two issues, it really fires them up. at the same time, you hear through the rest of the country, 36% of the country says we re headed in the wrong direction and the vast majority of the americans say the tax cuts, the economy, their financial situations, have not improved themselves. they re not feeling the benefits of this great economy since donald trump came president. we re seeing a momentum surge among democrats and donald trump and republicans need to find something that fires us up and the kavanaugh effect, it s like a sugar high. we have to get back to stuff that really fires up the base. the threat of a caravan of