538 and we will viciously attack seth and the book he has produced. Seth will get the opportunity to defend the supplemental will take questions from the audience and follow the same procedure. Seth, do you want to go first . Thanks dan for the introduction and for inviting me to this panel and this is a book , everybody lies about five years of research i have been doing. I will describe what it is and for the last 80 years if you want to know what people want, why people did the things they did, what people are going to do you have basically one main approach. You ask them. You conduct a randomized survey said gallup or peel or quinnipiac will go out and ask people questions and there is a main problem with this approach which is that people tend to lie and surveys to make themselves look good. If you ask people immediately before an election are you planning to vote the overwhelming majority of americans in the survey will say sure i want to vote in the election. They dont want to a
538 and we will viciously attack seth and the book he has produced. Seth will get the opportunity to defend the supplemental will take questions from the audience and follow the same procedure. Seth, do you want to go first . Thanks dan for the introduction and for inviting me to this panel and this is a book , everybody lies about five years of research i have been doing. I will describe what it is and for the last 80 years if you want to know what people want, why people did the things they did, what people are going to do you have basically one main approach. You ask them. You conduct a randomized survey said gallup or peel or quinnipiac will go out and ask people questions and there is a main problem with this approach which is that people tend to lie and surveys to make themselves look good. If you ask people immediately before an election are you planning to vote the overwhelming majority of americans in the survey will say sure i want to vote in the election. They dont want to a
We have no idea what trumps inauguration will be like but we know hes personally been hard at work on it. Yesterday trump tweeted a photo of himself quoting writing my inaugural address at the winter white house maralago. Looking forward to friday. Its appears trump is writing the first page of his speech with a sharpie, what appears a brandnew legal pad. One user said that desk looks like the maralago receptionist desk rather than a personal office. Would the president elect really be writing the speech there . Writing any inaugural address. Trevor with a pen and paper . I would believe he was tweeting his inaugural address. Then i would believe it. By the way, thats an iphone. Just looks big in his hand. applause although, the idea donald trump was working at the reception desk while doing that is pretty funny. He was sitting at the reception desk of maralago. I know when im writing i can get distract bid someone speaking and it ends up in the writing. So now frenchs inaugural addres
We have no idea what trumps inauguration will be like but we know hes personally been hard at work on it. Yesterday trump tweeted a photo of himself quoting writing my inaugural address at the winter white house maralago. Looking forward to friday. Its appears trump is writing the first page of his speech with a sharpie, what appears a brandnew legal pad. One user said that desk looks like the maralago receptionist desk rather than a personal office. Would the president elect really be writing the speech there . Writing any inaugural address. Trevor with a pen and paper . I would believe he was tweeting his inaugural address. Then i would believe it. By the way, thats an iphone. Just looks big in his hand. applause although, the idea donald trump was working at the reception desk while doing that is pretty funny. He was sitting at the reception desk of maralago. I know when im writing i can get distract bid someone speaking and it ends up in the writing. So now frenchs inaugural addres
But theres every reason to think that even if he is thoroughly crushed, hes going to stay. He may stay, and that was perhaps one of the reasons why theresa may might have Wa Nted The Reasons Why theresa may might have wanted this election, to finally lands flat boil of an opposition she doesnt like. She has said she wants more authority, she wa nts a said she wants more authority, she wants a strong opposition. But weve seen antiestablishment candidates do rather well in other parts of the world. Is a shes running a risk of the stability she has enjoyed . Every election has a risk and we have nearly seven weeks in which events can come up nearly seven weeks in which events can come up and derail the best of plans, but all things being equal, it looks like there wouldnt be a better time for the Prime Minister to do this. Jeremy corbyn has led the labour Party Without the confidence of his own mps for some time. He seems to lack credibility in public as a leader. Im trying to be fair. I