each. this can be six points apart. it could be even bigger. the nbc wall street journal poll had nine point advantage in democrats in the poll. that is bigger than 80. 12 will be democratic year than 2008. bret: for romney to win tuesday, polls have to be wrong. some have to be wrong a little because the vase that close. the national polls in the last, in the last week, 23 polls,be if you average them together. 48.3 for romney. 48.1 for obama. as of 10:00 this morning. so it s dead especially. knife s edge, exciting outcome. bret: we said. we want no tossup. joe, first. prediction. here is your map. 303 electoral vote for obama. they include on swing states i think he will win or colorado.
number than they did four years ago i expect republicans are going to win the election day in ohio. it s very likely to be so on tuesday. what is the delta for the democrat victory in the early vote versus what the republican delta is for election day. bill: i want to put a fine point on this. late on friday night you said ohio would be determined by between 80,000 and 110,000 votes. that is a smaller margin than how george bush beat john kerry in 2004. it is, but, look, it s also still a substantial victory. it will be a healthy number, and my gut is, but look, here is the deal about this. we are on the knife s edge for everybody. you take a look at last week of polls there are 23 national polls the average if you average all those polls together is 48.3 for romney to 48.1 for president obama that s as of literally half an hour ago. bill: it s tight. thank you. you bet. bill: see you in the hall.
before election day and he is in new hampshire. there is only four electoral votes. this is state he carried by double digits in 2008 but the real clear average right now, president is up about 48.3% to 47% for mitt romney. they are fighting for every electoral vote. in fact, mitt romney in couple days, and the president is meeting with teamsters union earlier today trying to to fire up his base. he has a new ad out called remember, trying to call out conservative positions he is trying to moderate him and mask his real views as he presents himself to the american people. it was interesting, the new line of attack at this rally. president accused mitt romney of raising taxes and even through a
nationally one in every 836. the price of gas pretty important, $3.79 a gallon. each candidate is taking it very seriously. president obama has made six visits there. governor romney six visits as well during this campaign season. take a look at the presidential race polls according to the real clear politics average 48.3% for the president, 46.3% for governor romney. 29 electoral votes are up for grabs. let s talk about it with the tallahassee bureau chief for the tampa bay times. the polls are close according to the real clear politics average, steve. what is the trend? the trend is it s a big toss up race, it s basically a tie, jon, but the polls do show the president with this narrow advantage in these last few weeks. what you re seeing there, i think, are a number of things, but florida has a large and
elections. in the last four elections they ve gone republican four times and democrat four times. the state of new hampshire if you look at some of the statistics, the state of new hampshire has four electoral votes, but those four electoral votes could be pivotal this time around, that s why the two campaigns are fighting so hard to win new hampshire. unemployment looking pretty good in new hampshire, a rate of 5.4%, much better than the national average. if you look at the visits, president obama has been there twice. mitt romney eight times. he has sometimes combined vacations at his lake house there with some campaigning. and of course he was the governor of neighboring massachusetts, so he has some history in that state. looking at the polls, 48.3% is the real clear politics average in new hampshire for the president. 44.8% for mitt romney. drew kline is the editorial paged tore for the union leader