number than they did four years ago i expect republicans are going to win the election day in ohio. it s very likely to be so on tuesday. what is the delta for the democrat victory in the early vote versus what the republican delta is for election day. bill: i want to put a fine point on this. late on friday night you said ohio would be determined by between 80,000 and 110,000 votes. that is a smaller margin than how george bush beat john kerry in 2004. it is, but, look, it s also still a substantial victory. it will be a healthy number, and my gut is, but look, here is the deal about this. we are on the knife s edge for everybody. you take a look at last week of polls there are 23 national polls the average if you average all those polls together is 48.3 for romney to 48.1 for president obama that s as of literally half an hour ago. bill: it s tight. thank you. you bet. bill: see you in the hall.