sharpest sharpton, that is a confrontation that he welcomes. going after the so-called squad drove up numbers in his base. i pay attention closely to some data that s being drawn from swing voters, people who went from obama to donald trump or romney to hillary clinton, people who really hang in the balance. there s a mentailility among the folks of send them back, meaning those who are there illegally, not a citizen who s a member of congress. a lot of this bleeds together. and my point is this, we can t make the mistake that many of us, yours truly made in 2016 which was to think every time he said something beyond the pale, you thought, he s done. john mccain, a war hero, he s done. mexico sending us rapists, he s done. time and again he disproved all that conventional wisdom. so who knows how it plays in 2020. there s 15 minutes on the clock. true. why is it different this time? this is why i hope it s different. when you consider the fact that
hard time. what i m saying is, the idea of this is what we re living right now, and i believe the president believes it works for him. is this good for me to light elijah cummings about how lousy it is in baltimore. i think it s all with malice afore thought. i don t think the elijah cummings battle is a battle he seeks. i think a confrontation with al sharpton he welcomes. i pay attention closely to some data that s being drawn from swing voters, people who went from obama to donald trump or romney to hillary clinton, people who really hang in the balance. there s a mentality of those folks of send them back, meaning those who are there illegally, not a citizen who s a member of congress.
each. this can be six points apart. it could be even bigger. the nbc wall street journal poll had nine point advantage in democrats in the poll. that is bigger than 80. 12 will be democratic year than 2008. bret: for romney to win tuesday, polls have to be wrong. some have to be wrong a little because the vase that close. the national polls in the last, in the last week, 23 polls,be if you average them together. 48.3 for romney. 48.1 for obama. as of 10:00 this morning. so it s dead especially. knife s edge, exciting outcome. bret: we said. we want no tossup. joe, first. prediction. here is your map. 303 electoral vote for obama. they include on swing states i think he will win or colorado.
valley or fox river valley. men who are neither reliably republican or democrat. they tailgateed at lambeau field. the heart of fox valley. green bay, richmond, lacrosse. they went for george bush in 2004. they went for walker in june. real clear politics points to obama up over romney by 4.2% in an average of polls here. that they call a tossup. republicans believe that the ground game that propelled governor walker to victory will propel romney to victory tomorrow. the democrats have a good
today than romney in terms of those two states. i talked about the american firewall for president obama. you seem to be up in ohio at least a couple of points based on polling i ve seen. a new poll from the des moines register has you up five in iowa. do you believe ohio and iowa are done deals in the president s column? david, not until the polls close. so we feel good about our position in both those states. we think we have done terrific in terms of the early vote. it s important to understand, for governor romney to win ohio, iowa, north carolina, he ll have to carry election day by a hugeo margin, and we think we ll do very well with election day voters. we re in i think a commanding position, but our big challenge is to make sure we execute and get our vote out. and that s what we re spending all of our time on. let me ask you about a couple of issues here in the final s stretch. the arguments from governor romney boil down to the economy and the unemployment rate higher