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The Superforecasters

How a college-based team of students, faculty and volunteers bested government intelligence community prognosticators and gave birth to Superforecasting. ....

United States , Barbara Mellers , Dominic Heaney , Don Moore , Welton Chang , Phil Tetlock , Shannon Gifford , National Public Radio , Good Judgment Inc , Hebrew University , School Of Arts , Wharton School , University Of California At Berkeley , Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency , University Of Pennsylvania , Intelligence Advanced Research Projects Activity , Rice University , Good Judgment Project , Defense Advanced Research Projects , Aggregative Contingent , Good Judgment Project Superforecasters , Helaine Rich , All Things Considered , Predictions Right , Good Judgment , Chief Technology ,

Forecast: the impacts of vaccines and variants on the U.S. COVID trajectory

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In a report summary released today Thomas McAndrew, a computational scientist and assistant professor at Lehigh University s College of Health includes probabilistic forecasts of the impact of vaccines and variants on the U.S. COVID trajectory over the next few weeks. The goal of the report, says McAndrew, is to support public health officials, infectious disease modeling groups, and the general public
Report highlights:
A consensus of 91 forecasters predicts that the B.1.1.7. variant will be found in 42% of all genetic sequences with an S-gene mutation in the first two weeks of March and in 72% in all sequences between March 29 and April 4, 2021. ....

Thomas Mcandrew , Juan Cambeiro , Allison Codi , Damon Luk , Tamay Besiroglu , David Braun , Eva Chen , Luis Enrique Urtubey , Centers For Disease , Good Judgement Inc , Lehigh University , Lehigh University College Of Health , Good Judgment Open , Disease Control , Territorial Epidemiologists , Integrated Degree , Computer Science , Cognitive Psychology , Good Judgement , Medicine Health , Infectious Emerging Diseases , தாமஸ் அம்கெஂட்ர்யூ , அல்லிசன் கோடி , டாமன் லுக் , டேவிட் மூளை , ஈவா சென் ,

What now for America? And could it happen in Canada?

What now for America? And could it happen in Canada?
The world watched as an angry mob stormed the US Capitol Wednesday. It was a scene few imagined we d ever see but it was also, somehow, inevitable.
Jan 7, 2021 5:41 PM
By: Rogers Sports & Media
Updated
Credit Frequency Podcast Network
Your browser does not support the audio element.The world watched as an angry mob stormed the US Capitol Wednesday. It was a scene few imagined we d ever see but it was also, somehow, inevitable. In the weeks since the election Donald Trump had been broadcasting his desire for his followers to take action. Then they did. ....

Donald Trump , Joe Biden , Mcdonald Laurier Institute , Good Judgment Inc , Balkan Devlen , Good Judgment , டொனால்ட் துருப்பு , ஓஹோ பிடென் , மக்டொநல்ட் லாரியர் நிறுவனம் , நல்ல தீர்ப்பு இன்க் , பால்கன் டெவலென் , நல்ல தீர்ப்பு ,