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In a report summary released today Thomas McAndrew, a computational scientist and assistant professor at Lehigh University s College of Health includes probabilistic forecasts of the impact of vaccines and variants on the U.S. COVID trajectory over the next few weeks. The goal of the report, says McAndrew, is to support public health officials, infectious disease modeling groups, and the general public
Report highlights:
A consensus of 91 forecasters predicts that the B.1.1.7. variant will be found in 42% of all genetic sequences with an S-gene mutation in the first two weeks of March and in 72% in all sequences between March 29 and April 4, 2021. ....

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