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MoA - November 2008

MoA - November 2008
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A Painfully Learned by Valuable Investment Lesson: Think in Probabilities and Prepare for a Variety of Outcomes


By John Lunt, Lunt Capital Management, Inc.
I learned an important investment truth early in my career there are no certain outcomes in financial markets.  Rather than prepare solely for what you think will happen or what you want to happen, think in terms of probabilities, and prepare for a variety of outcomes.
Let me rewind to the late 1990’s when my business partner Ryan and I started working together building dynamic models that used some of the earliest ETFs (Country WEBS, Select Sectors, etc.).  Although we focused on ETFs, our early days included trading in a wide variety of financial instruments and strategies including individual stocks, currencies, futures, and options.  We built momentum models, relative strength models, short-selling models, and even traditional value models. ....

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Ban Bilderberg – American Free Press


By Vince Ryan
This year’s meeting of the Bilderberg Group was held in the elegant Westfields Marriot Hotel in Chantilly, Va., a suburb of Washington, D.C., May 31 – June 3. Participants included 100 influential American citizens, among them being Sen. John Kerry (D-Mass.), chairman of the Committee on Foreign Relations, and World Bank Group President Robert Zoellick.
Others included Donald Graham, CEO of
The Washington Post; Jessica Mathews, president Carnegie Endowment for International Peace; National Security Agency Gen. Keith Alexander; Thomas Donilon, Obama’s national security adviser; former secretary of state and “New World Order” elder Henry Kissinger; failed GOP presidential hopeful and former Utah Gov. Jon Huntsman, and former Treasury Secretary Robert Rubin. ....

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