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By John Lunt, Lunt Capital Management, Inc. I learned an important investment truth early in my career there are no certain outcomes in financial markets. Rather than prepare solely for what you think will happen or what you want to happen, think in terms of probabilities, and prepare for a variety of outcomes. Let me rewind to the late 1990’s when my business partner Ryan and I started working together building dynamic models that used some of the earliest ETFs (Country WEBS, Select Sectors, etc.). Although we focused on ETFs, our early days included trading in a wide variety of financial instruments and strategies including individual stocks, currencies, futures, and options. We built momentum models, relative strength models, short-selling models, and even traditional value models. ....