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By John Lunt, President, Lunt Capital Management, Inc. There is always a “wall of worry” for financial markets to climb. Today, investors rightly worry about how trillions in monetary and fiscal stimulus will impact inflation, interest rates, economic growth, company earnings, and equity valuations. Recently, I wrote an article about the importance of preparing investment portfolios for multiple scenarios in the face of uncertainty. Going further back in the archives, an article I wrote in August of 2017 about strategy diversification could have been written for today’s market. Here is an excerpt: “The principal of diversification drives asset allocation for both institutional and individual investors. The benefits of diversification do not come from simply adding more investments to an asset allocation, but rather, from adding investments with lower correlations to existing investments within the allocation. However, a prospective investment may have ....
By John Lunt, Lunt Capital Management, Inc. I learned an important investment truth early in my career there are no certain outcomes in financial markets. Rather than prepare solely for what you think will happen or what you want to happen, think in terms of probabilities, and prepare for a variety of outcomes. Let me rewind to the late 1990’s when my business partner Ryan and I started working together building dynamic models that used some of the earliest ETFs (Country WEBS, Select Sectors, etc.). Although we focused on ETFs, our early days included trading in a wide variety of financial instruments and strategies including individual stocks, currencies, futures, and options. We built momentum models, relative strength models, short-selling models, and even traditional value models. ....