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We welcome you on the simulcast. Bloomberg radio and Bloomberg Television across this nation and worldwide. This due of news is just extraordinary. An important moment will be Lawrence Kudlow after the jobs report. But jon, i want to talk for a moment about the markets. Affected. Oeing come up 5 . Igit 13 on the s p 500 yeartodate, and the nasdaq 100, lisa has loaded the boat on the nasdaq, up 38 . This is a boom and great bull market. Jonathan record on the nasdaq, just off that on the s p 500. The market has ignored all of the bad stuff over the last month and held onto all of the good stuff. Does that change in 29 minutes . The payrolls report, the estimate for hunted 60,000 the estimate 460,000. Tom Kevin Cirilli talking about the enthusiasm to get something done. We will talk about that in the moment. I love w ....
France threatens to get out of the rescue plan altogether. 11,000 jobs slashed, the german giant fights for survival. Welcome to the program. Looking at the futures, reflecting the way the european and u. S. Equity markets closed yesterday. Futures down in europe, mixed in the u. S. , reflecting what we saw yesterday were the u. S. Wobbled into the close at the end of the session. New york schools closing seems to be the factor. Breaking news, some commentary from astrazeneca in connection phasehase two, not the three news we have been waiting for. That is expected to come within weeks. This is more detail on the phase two data. They are confirming the vaccines immune response in older adults, that is crucial considering who is most vulnerable to the virus. The lancet is publishing the findings. A lot of stuff we have heard already from phase three trials more advanced than this from other drug companies. It has not been peerreviewed or in journals. We are getting the phase two study, ....
Whether or not at this point in the economic pandemic cycle they need to spend that bullet. They will be doing some things that are more accommodative. It will be difficult for them to reverse that policy somewhere down the road. Jonathan mike swell of Goldman Sachs is with us. On treasuries, on bad news being bad news, is that your view of things, how high can we take 10year yield . Mike great to be with you, jonathan. On the there is a cap treasury market, and its really the result of looking away from the slow term where there are certain instances where people think about growth postcovid. We see significant vaccine implementation. The jobs report, it will take a long time to get back to normal. The fed will be on hold for the foreseeable future. As a result, you will not see a 50 basis point increase in the 10year. People should sit tight and recognize that rates will stay low for the foreseeable future. Today proves that we w ....
Even though the gains have been so big, up until now it doesnt mean you should bail out and not get in on the game. I do wonder, jon, especially if we dont get a fiscal support package, especially if we do get increased deterioration in the economic data, i do wonder if well see a change in sentiment. Jonathan what if we get more restrictions . California, the governor, mr. Newsome had this to say yesterday. If these trends continue well have to take much more dramatic, arguably drastic action. If hes implying they might have to have a shelter in place order like back in spring or a flavor version of that, how do we get through that if we dont have the fiscal hand down from d. C. . Thats the question going into december and 2021 . Lisa the markets have shrugged this off completely. The deterioration some of the High Frequency data. If you want to look at the v shape recovery check out manufacturing which brings us to what we are l ....