We welcome you on the simulcast. Bloomberg radio and Bloomberg Television across this nation and worldwide. This due of news is just extraordinary. An important moment will be Lawrence Kudlow after the jobs report. But jon, i want to talk for a moment about the markets. Affected. Oeing come up 5 . Igit 13 on the s p 500 yeartodate, and the nasdaq 100, lisa has loaded the boat on the nasdaq, up 38 . This is a boom and great bull market. Jonathan record on the nasdaq, just off that on the s p 500. The market has ignored all of the bad stuff over the last month and held onto all of the good stuff. Does that change in 29 minutes . The payrolls report, the estimate for hunted 60,000 the estimate 460,000. Tom Kevin Cirilli talking about the enthusiasm to get something done. We will talk about that in the moment. I love what greg peters of pgim said in the opening credits, the idea that everybody is looking for every bit of yield. To me that has been undersold story this week about how other
Declining. We saw a constructive things. Waiting for the eighth or ninth year of expansion is not a perfect strategy. There is an issue of wanting to do as much as we can to avoid exacerbating the longstanding inferences and get back to a Strong Economy or we can start making progress again, which is what we were doing in february. Senator smith as the fed chair and at the fed you have the mission of low unemployment and managing inflation. And this need to spur job growth. We said there is not been a big worry about inflation. What if the fed were to lower its target for employment, even under 3 . What impact might that have on addressing longterm needs for addressing inequality. Changeowell we made a in our operating framework which addresses that directly. We will have an estimate of the natural rate of unemployment. We will not act on that, even if unemployment goes below that, unless we see inflation or some other problematic thing that seems to be late to where our rates are. We
Morning, thevember imf is direct. There is real risk to any form of international recovery. They look at the pandemic data, they look at the gdp data, and they look at the lack of fiscal stimulus nation to nation. This time is different. These headlines are original before a g20 meeting, but we got to get right to this. This is a real wakeup call of the immediacy into december. Fromhan its an echo chairman powell and president lagarde over the last few days as well. I think market dispenser quick to untangle be shortterm from the longterm, to bear their hope in the sands of in the back end of 2021. I think what policymakers are suggesting is that the shortterm matters. It can shape what the longterm looks like area when you look at the balance of risks, they are tilted aggressively to the downside. Abramowicz, this headline, elevated asset values point to Financial Stability risk, and i am surprised that is a judgment by imf on where fixed income and equities are. Lisa this is somethin
Come whichrevious also been revised higher. There was some expedition that as prices come up because of the fact you can get cheap lending at the moment or cheap borrowing , you would expect that at some have, that would start to an impact on a month by month basis. Nevertheless, the market was looking for this month on month number two actually slow, and that hasnt happened, which is really interesting and the light of what we are starting to see in the employment market. We saw initial jobless claims out a little bit earlier on. Youre starting to see the negative data could begin from the employment side of the economy, starting to come in a little softer. Bloombergs mike mckee joining us now with the details of that. Michael at one point on the housing numbers, existing home sales or closings, so these contracts were signed a couple of months ago when things were a little better in the economy, and we got low mortgage rates, so the one thing the fed has been able to do is stimulate
To work our way through. Let me start with the Michigan Consumer sentiment index. Headline number coming through at 76 point nine, broadly in line with expectations of 77. Current conditions at 87, i had of expectations. At 75. Tions youve got the difficult situation i think the consumer has got to figure out. Do i worry about the here and now and worry about the impact the virus is going to have over the next weeks and months, or do i think about what the vaccine is ultimately going to deliver . Like the markets, i think the consumer is probably having to balance those factors out. Kailey i want to point out housing data as well. The Housing Market has been particularly strong. That does continue. A pace of 909,000, versus the estimate of 975,000. We are getting october personal spending data, and for more on that as Bloomberg International economics and policy correspondent Michael Mckee to break it all down for us. Michael michael it is may the most important number of a lot of numb