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hello again, and welcome. it s time to get together with smart people to break down the week s big stories. we re asking with all the polls showing donald trump with a huge lead going into monday s iowa caucuses, what happens if he doesn t live up to those expectations? then speaker mike johnson under pressure for trying to make a deal with democrats. how long will they last? and the stanley cup craze that has nothing to do with hockey. our panel gives its yay or nay on the newest merch mania. the grang s here and ready to g. sit back, relax, and let s talk about it. up first, after months of campaigning, the iowa gop caucuses are finally here. monday night in frigid conditions, iowans will gather at locations across the state from church basements to school cafeterias to discuss the republican candidates and vote. and the results could dramatically reshape or solidify the landscape of the presidential race. in the final hours, three big questions for the three le ....
is it over before it begins? i m michael smerconish in philadelphia. before a single primary vote has been cast, has donald trump already sown up the 2024 gop nomination, or is it still up for grabs? everybody has an opinion, but the data tells a pretty compelling story. peggy noonan in the wall street journal writing this week, i refuse to see the story is over. the voting begins now. after chris christie dropped out, the new york times wrote, the christie vote alone will probably not be enough, but haley has been steadily gaining in the polls and historically there s a lot of precedent for surging candidates to keep gaining, especially over a contest s final days. and new hampshire, which is second up, will be a wild card. independents can vote in the gop primary, and according to data released yesterday from gallup, 43% of americans consider themselves to be independent. the rs and ds are tied at 27. it ties a record for an independent showing, making them the la ....
they will most likely still lose i polling is any indication, we don t know. they could lose by a historic margin to a front runner, who, let s be, clear has spent more time in court attending his civil fraud trial this week than he has in the state of iowa. even if now it feels inevitable we ve come to this, it was not inevitable. it really wasn t. there was a time in winter 2020, one after january 6th, when donald trump was being impeached for inciting the capitol insurrection, his approval rating hit an all-time. low it looked like very well be sent to do a period of political exile. then he came back, the 2022 midterms, the elections worked out poorly for most trump endorsed candidates. he backed losers in a ton of winnable races and there seemed to be a daunting wherein us in the republican party that he was politically toxic. in 2024 could be a wide open race for republicans. all those folks gotta because if i was beautiful. not now. trump is polling at 54%, or 30 ....
that s where you would normally see a famous bridge there, but we re going to go right now to nbc s jesse kirsch, who s in grand rapids for us. welcome, chevy. how bad is it where you are? how much worse is it going to get, not only there, but across the nation as well? yeah, alex. i don t know if you could hear it, but it is the wind that s hitting us hard right now. we are in grand rapids, michigan. the western part of this state. this part of michigan, as well as western new york and the buffalo area, could be seeing a lot more snow over the next couple of days. there s a possibility in the buffalo area, because of lake effect snow bands, that we could be seeing three more feet of snow in the buffalo area in some parts, stretching into monday. the bills were supposed to have a big game this weekend. that game has been postponed because of the weather conditions that are expected in that parts of western new york. over the next couple of days. it s just these wind g ....
today on inside politics, hunter in the house. the president s son making a surprise appearance on capitol hill to watch a house committee meeting called to hold him in contempt of congress. chaos, shall we say, ensued. plus, it s debate night in des moines. get ready for nikki haley and ron desantis to go head to head for the first time live on cnn. the stakes incredibly high with just five days left for the top trump alternatives to chip away at his massive lead. and demanding answers. multiple investigations are under way after the pentagon waited weeks to reveal the defense secretary was battling cancer. why was even president biden kept in the dark until yesterday? i m manu raju in for dana bash. let s go behind the headlines and inside politics. first up, capitol hill meets reality tv. a wild scene as house republicans were starting to move toward punishing hunter biden for refusing to sit for a closed door deposition when the president s son showed up. hu ....