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if you are talking about a way for us to actually win and not just bust the blue wall, you are assuming we are winning states that mitt romney and john mccain both lost to president obama including iowa, ohio and florida. of course north carolina the first time. here s the important thing and momentum and enthusiasm matter. in addition us closing the gap from 12 points to being ahead or being tied. by the way, let me ask you this. have you had a poll move 13 points in a week? have you had a poll move 13 points in a week? that you didn t wonder something must be wrong with the poll. i m not wondering at all. we can t play that game. i can t have your network calling the race over because of the abc news washington post moving and say that may not have been right. i didn t hang my hat on that poll then or now. a lot of people in your network did. i want to make the point that the lines are clearly going in our direction and i think the most fascinating numbers in abc w ....
Voting booth and filling out the envelope. they say who is confident was a plan for inflation and whose physically and mentally able to do the job? that s the four other jobs people will be asking. and so the horse race numbers and i will say it when trump is ahead, i will say win trump is behind, the horserace numbers are nearly as relevant or exciting because they will change over time. what will changes who you see is handling issues for the family and these personal attributes questions. this comes down to something very simple, it s that with donald trump those attributes are being based on what people and with joe biden they were higher at the beginning of the presidency because it was wishful thinking. now it s a true indictment of what they see and what goes to a pollsters. martha: for the first amount of history people of a choice of what watch be president and another person be washed be president of the ....
I guess the republican electorate? but how do you think about that as it relates to the electorate writ large in november? well, a couple of things. one is he clearly has a locked in base of support, right? and he said it himself. he could shoot someone and not lose any support. and it s true, right? it only energizes his base of support. what i will say is when the horse race number is wrong it s usually because the pollster has predicted the wrong universe and it all depends on what universe turns out. and as you pointed out there, you re talking about such a narrow swath of voters anyway, a high point for republicans i think was 187,000 votes. so you re talking about such a narrow swath, a narrow universe of voters to start with. and you ve got and you ve got sort of terrible conditions there. so it s about who turns out. and this is where polling gets tricky and where polling can be off. these are horse race numbers, which i think we spend too much ....
Polling? i suspect they have. everything i know about michael bloomberg suggests and has historically suggested that they come prepared. they re not the type of people to jump in cold water without knowing that it was very cold. but when you look as a morning poll out that shows that michael unfavorables are the highest in the primary race. i think it s like 25% unfavorability rating. does their internal polling show the same thing? do they have that? do they think that number can change? good question. what we ve been told by the bloomberg camp, i guess, it s not really a campaign yet s that as the polling that he s been monitoring and paying for, doug shone is his pollster, shown over time democrats have seen trump as more and more of a danger and become more and more attracted to someone of bloomberg s profile. now, they haven t told us what those numbers are or exactly what the horse race numbers would be. not only is the morning consult ....
And tonight these numbers will offer critical clues about how these iowa voters are feeling 135 days out from those first in the nation caucuses. so let s get right to it. cnn s jessica dean is live in des moines where the candidates gathered there today. but we are beginning with cnn political director david and the new numbers everyone has been waiting for. david, lots to get at in this new poll. what does it tell us about where this race stands right now? reporter: it tells us, alex, that this race stands at an entirely new place right now. take a look at these top-line horse race numbers in iowa, the critical first contest. you see elizabeth warren has been surging in iowa. she s at 22% in this poll. joe biden has been fading a bit. he s at 20%. they are in a tier, a top tier to themselves. you see there bernie sanders at 11. pete buttigieg at 9%. harris at 6%. booker and klobuchar at 3% each. ....