the russians knowing that it was intended to sow social media disinformation. and it was the internals, not just the horse race numbers, and that s just a vivid example of how there was cooperation between the trump campaign and the russians. and that s a pretty shocking thing. never before done in american history. a lot of what s going on now is the drama about the battle that is essentially between mueller and barr. mueller s job through the report was to get the information out. barr has defined his job as to conceal it. that s essentially what s going on. and these sideshow fights are essentially just the relentless effort on the part of the trump administration now, unfortunately, with the assistance of attorney general barr to conceal the facts through obfuscation. the one of the ongoing conditions of this investigation was something we ve never seen before, which is the president attacking the special investigation of the president. previous presidents had never gone into t
to keep in place all the benefits of obamacare. like president obama himself has said, he used the analogy of it being like a starter home. so, it is moving on from obamacare? and making improvements on it. i want to go back to senator harris on health care in a moment. i want to talk about the biden dynamic. every poll we look at since the first debate, he is down. not just in the horse race numbers but when you look into the weeds who is most impressed, who are you looking at, who are you not going to vote for, his numbers are worse in every poll you look at. why? probably a couple of things that these other candidates are the electorate is starting to get to know them. a lot of them weren t national household names and biden s debate performance hurt him. he didn t look as quick on his feet. he didn t have the response to harris. and, you know, not only that, some of the things he said on the stump. it s probably a little bit of
decisions that are being made right now. the represent why i m going to beat president trump is this, my story. i won that campaign by a 24-point margin. [ cheers and applause ] so the reason why i will defeat president trump is my entire time in congress i have chosen to bring people together. i have chosen to reach across the aisle, to get things done. it s early. one of the things i ll repeat like a broken record, don t invest in the horse race numbers so much in the poll, but who is moving up and who is moving down? if you re senator harris you have to feel good about that, if you re beto o rourke, you have to think okay, i started 11% and that s pretty good and that s his brand from 2018. what about the warning sign from bernie sanders? second in the national poll and he has a dedicated base of supporters and a lot of the party worried about the electability issue and how do you deal with that? i think the candidates in the
would be cruising to re-election amongst iowa voters. it is a well, in the primaerks it s a very polarized electorate. harry, let s talk about the democrats. also in this iowa poll, likely democratic caucusgoers. joe biden and bernie sanders at the top. 27%, 25% respectively. the other candidates, you know, elizabeth warren, harris, down in single digits. is this an enduring advantage for biden and sanders in your view? i am suspect that it s enduring in so far if you line up the name recognition, people who can form an opinion of these candidates and then look at the horse race numbers, a clear correlation. 96% of democrats can say they can form an opinion of these candidates. no one else is close. i will point out we saw with president trump when he was running in 2015, a lot of people said those early numbers, that s just name recognition. he was able to hold on to that
former adviser for his 2016 campaign, david urban. good to have you on together. harry, if i could use your polling wisdom here, just for a moment. 81%. that figure for trump has remained fairly consistent among republicans, has it not? it has. in fact, his favorable rating is slightly up. these are not the types of numbers you d expect there to be a serious challenger to the president. he s well liked by republicans. different polls look at the horse race numbers clearly show that he s the first heading into 2020. if donald trump is going to be beat, it will be in the general election, not in the primary as the polling looks at this point. dave urban, the 40% of folks identifying as republican or republican leaning voters do support the president facing a challenger, however. do you consider that at all concerning? no. so first of all, and harry will speak to this, too. this is these are registered