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BLOOMBERG Bloomberg Surveillance July 11, 2024

We welcome you on the simulcast. Bloomberg radio and Bloomberg Television across this nation and worldwide. This due of news is just extraordinary. An important moment will be Lawrence Kudlow after the jobs report. But jon, i want to talk for a moment about the markets. Affected. Oeing come up 5 . Igit 13 on the s p 500 yeartodate, and the nasdaq 100, lisa has loaded the boat on the nasdaq, up 38 . This is a boom and great bull market. Jonathan record on the nasdaq, just off that on the s p 500. The market has ignored all of the bad stuff over the last month and held onto all of the good stuff. Does that change in 29 minutes . The payrolls report, the estimate for hunted 60,000 the estimate 460,000. Tom Kevin Cirilli talking about the enthusiasm to get something done. We will talk about that in the moment. I love w ....

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BLOOMBERG Bloomberg Surveillance July 11, 2024

He said simply, this doesnt matter, and december could be green. Could be grim. Jonathan the markets are looking at the data in the second half of 2021, not 2020. Tom jon will get to the data of a market lifting and all of that. This ecb announcement a bit ago is buried, and im sorry, it just sets up the theme of extend and pretend into 2021. They are going to extend bond buying forever and ever. It is Central Banks to the rescue. Jonathan the ecb wants you to focus on the duration of the Bond Buying Program and not the size of the package they might announce this week. That has been a big push on the communications side. I imagine that will be the focus for them when they communicate with us. For us, we are all getting used to the idea that Central Banks will be there for us. Weve been conditioned by that all year. T ....

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BLOOMBERG Bloomberg Surveillance July 11, 2024

Tom keene is away and no doubt he would like to talk about this, the redhead blind across the bloomberg with continuing eu trade talks year coming from a spokesperson. Lisa, you asked about deadlines. According to the lease latest deadlines, what do we do about trade talks . Lisa i love that you say the tomo want to talk about this, the implication being that you will not. Thats a very, very not subtle subtext here as you talk about what is a deadline, after all. Jonathan he is of course are chief exit correspondent and he will be interested in the headlines, as will many in the u. K. They are rolling up continuing trade talks next year with the Prime Minister engaging with a phone call with the Commission President later on today. Thats the story for the markets. Otherwise not paying much attention to this whatsoever. The rest of the world has been focused on the headl ....

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BLOOMBERG Bloomberg Surveillance July 11, 2024

Behind, but what is important is the symbols along the way, and the number one symbol is the most unloved bull market since time began. You do measure the wall of cash on the sideline. How does that feel this dow 30,000 morning . Left out,very lonely, isolated, and i imagine some of it has capitulated. We talked about a tugofwar at the start of this month when we got deposited vaccine news. Overwhelmingly now, this market is looking through the nearterm risks into year end. I had a conversation with someone who suggested we could get a negative payroll sprint negative payrolls print for the next couple of months. It is an outlier call, but deteriorating data is consensus, and here we are running straight through it. Tom maybe it is a biden administration, the fed coming on, stimulus coming on. You keep talking about the russell 2000, up 11 year to date, and it has been a moonshot the last number of weeks. The nasdaq 100 lagging recently, up 34 year to date. 500 up 12. 5 . P for you, we ....

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BLOOMBERG Bloomberg Surveillance July 11, 2024

Radio. Alongside lisa abramowicz, im jonathan ferro. Tom keene will be back with us on wednesday. Erasing the mornings losses. Monday morning, we are faced with vaccine news. Some other news as well. We are pushing things forward every monday, it seems. Lisa although it seems like the market didnt respond so much to that news. There seems to be a lot of positivity baked in. So my people who came on this show were saying if there is any pullback, which there were likely be which there will. Ikely be, buy that dip that seems to be the feeling as we bleed higher towards the end of the year. Jonathan this morning, but theyre not out this morning, requestplanning to approval for this vaccine. What we have to think about is what would the anchor expectations on the policy side and on the data side. Later this week, the chiasm claims, payrolls the ism claims, payrolls. Do people start to get worried about the nearterm future . We hear from secretary mnuchin and chair powell this week. A bit o ....

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