for cross relations. the big thing is this. taiwan now with xi jinping has created so many enemies. he has to consolidate his power so next generation of leaders will be, of course his appointment. during this time i thing xi jinping will not make it easy on taiwan. what will china do? i don t think china will take drastic measures against taiwan. instead china will tighten the screws with gradually. that will hurt taiwan people. taiwan people are very sensitive to what china has to say or do. so even though the measure is not that drastic, relatively mild, in the former chinese perspective that will hurt china. what i m concerned this will have a negative impact on taiwan s domestic politics which will internally have a negative feedback loop on china. so that s the thing that we have to pay very close attention to. so of all the measure, the mild measures that china may undertake against taiwan, i think the harbinger of communication between the two are the most important o
political type revolution, someone pointed out already that we have new generation of or maybe geographical changes. do you characterize this coming election outcome, characterize it more by recuring political outcome or having coming together? do you want to take that? yeah. i think i already mentioned in my remark there that this election will obviously trigger a generational shift. that will clearly be the case with dpp or for the green camp as a whole. and also, a lot of people in their 30s or even late 20s, they have been very active in social movement and also grassroots organization. they will steadily climb up the ladder and become an important forces in shaping the electoral politics. it depends on how his party and his own turn out. ing? he might be around for quite a while, if his party turns out to be a critical voting bloc, then you know. on the other hand, if in the end, a lot of the voters abandoned him in the very end and his party actually couldn t re
none of the main figures in the party chose to stand for election and perhaps for wise reasons. the one candidate that emerged at the end was a relatively less well-known personality in taiwan, who has recently been the deputy seek of the legislative u-on. before the public opinion poll to determine whether if she would qualify to be the party candidate was held, the party did not arrange any time when she would present her platform to the public. and so when the voters that were polled, not the voters, the people who were polled reacted to her, what were they reacting to? they were reacting to her personal story which is quite compelling and interesting, and they were reacting to personality as an outspoken and atypical kmt politician. when the poll was conducted, she surprised many people, including myself, and got a 46% support rate, which was well beyond the threshold that the party had set for a potential candidate. shortly afterward, however, her poll numbers began to c