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BLOOMBERG Bloomberg Surveillance July 12, 2024

Abramowicz and tom keene in new york. Good morning on Bloomberg Radio across the nation. Good morning on Bloomberg Television worldwide as well. Theferro, without question most mysterious jobs report ive ever witnessed. Jonathan we talked about the wide range all morning. Lets talk about it again. At the top, 2. 4 million. Thats the high estimate. Below, 100,000. The pace of the recovery is slowing. I wonder if we have seen more evident if we are seeing more evidence of that a little later this morning. Tom i thought of one of your good questions earlier, the idea of this shift to the new unemployed. Forget about furloughed. Forget about all of the other language. It is people terminated. Lisa people are becoming permanently laid off. Initially it was temporary. My question today is going to be is bad news good news, and is good news bad news . The idea that if we get ....

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BLOOMBERG Bloomberg Markets Balance Of Power July 12, 2024

You might say better late than never. Adam that is exactly what i would say. Better late than never but also powell and Richard Clara for the process. There is a reality going back to well before the Global Financial crisis that the phillips curve has been flat. This is a fancy way of saying you can have deviations in inflation deviations in employment to the upside and you do not get that much inflation for it. Then you combine that with the reality we have seen in japan for a long time and in the u. S. And europe for the last 12 to 15 years that when youre too close to zero on your Interest Rate balance, you cannot react as well as you should to policy and adjust policy. Fomc powell and the they unanimously adopted the statement before he spoke what jay powell and the fomc are saying is they are catching up with realit ....

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BLOOMBERG Bloomberg Markets European Close July 12, 2024

Environment, both here in europe and around the world. About the data that we are getting throughout the what it means. We are getting pmi data from europe. We rely on the ism data in the u. S. The sent seems to be the employment components are weak and the headline numbers are strong. Orders look pretty good. Jenna henry, global chief economist joining us. Break it all done. We have had the ism and the pmi data. Thewondering how useful data is really and giving us clues at clues as to whether Global Economy is . Not very. But t low levels, still at low levels. Equity markets are looking for their v. It is whether that b continues. There are useful snapshots. It is always encouraging to see territories. It gives us some idea that things are improving. It doesnt tell us anything about the future. Alix what do we learn from germany . Retail cells had a huge pop in may. Retail sales had a huge pop in me. Janet the difficulty you got ....

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BLOOMBERG Bloomberg Surveillance July 12, 2024

You just heard steven major of hsbc talk about the recovery that is out there, and it is a mystery. Already come our conversations this morning have really showed the massive ambiguity we have going into 8 30 this morning, and then jons conversation with Lawrence Kudlow near the 10 00 hour as well. It is an extraordinary day. An up market, and some stasis in the bond market as well. But we have said this all morning. It is not just about the payrolls report for the Establishment Survey. It is about the slew of Economic Data we get out today. Jonathan it is also not just about the data. It is also about the reaction to it. How will the administration respond to the bounce in the Economic Data, and how will it shape the fiscal effort in the month of july, when cl ....

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BLOOMBERG Bloomberg Surveillance July 13, 2024

Have had, it is good to get to some form of celebration with some markets closed. How will you celebrate mayday with your cherubs this year . Francine we wont, is the simple truth, although may 1 in italy, youedley usually buy lily of the valley for people you love. There is a controversy because you cannot show up at florist, you have to order them online. It is not because it is may 1 that the lockdown is eased. Buy them online. It is the little nuances but people miss that make it quite heavy as we go on. Mood int is exactly the america, drowning in little nuances as we tried to get through this pandemic. Optimismwe looked with at may and now even june, people are beginning to frame july. Right now, our first word news in new york city. Viviana the u. S. Federal reserve expanding the scope of its main Street Lending program. Businesses with up to 15,000 employees will be eligible and also those with up to 5 billion in revenue. ....

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