ruthless invasion. plus president biden celebrating a positive new american jobs report. not everything, of course, is rosy. one leading economist is sounding warnings of a recession. he'll join me live to explain why. welcome to "the lead." i'm jake tapper. we start with our world lead, what could be a huge military accomplishment for the ukrainian military, or, or, a false flag operation carried out by russian forces to further attempt to try to justify their brutal and unprovoked attack on a sovereign nation. this afternoon ukraine's foreign minister would not confirm nor would he deny whether ukrainian forces were behind this attack on a fuel depot in a russian town. there were no reported deaths or injuries. russia claims ukrainian helicopters carried out the strike and that more than 3.5 million gallons of fuel are on fire as a result. if true, that would be a first