Transcripts For BBCNEWS The Context with Christian Fraser 20

mary anne marsh who's in cape cod. welcome to the programme. russia has stepped up its air assault on targets across ukraine. moscow says it hit more than 300 military targets, including weapon and fuel depots, warehouses and other infrastructure mainly in eastern ukraine. but ukraine says that many of the missiles hit and killed civilians. at least seven people were killed in kharkiv, while the governor of mykolaiv, near the port of 0desa, says the city has been under continuous bombardment from russia rockets. and then there's the western city of lviv. it has been relatively unscathed throughout the conflict, but missile strikes there have killed at least 7 people. three military warehouses and a car garage were hit. 0ur correspondent dan johnson is there. this is where one of the missiles hit this morning. the authorities tell us that it is a tyre fitting garage, a place that looks after people's cars. they say this is not a military target whatsoever, but they have said three other military facilities were hit in this morning's air raid. it was about ten to 8am when we heard the air raid sirens sound once again. there have been more air raids in the last few days, more alerts, but then it was about 30 or a0 minutes after the sirens that i heard the sound of something like jets overhead. it's not clear if the strikes were launched from fighterjets or if there were missiles launched from outside ukraine, but i actually saw a couple of the missiles myself streaking across the sky and then hitting buildings on the city's roofline, and then we saw the black plumes of smoke rising up. i actually counted five explosions myself, even though the city's officials are saying that there were four missile strikes. but while russia expanded its attacks to targets across the country, the focus is very much on the south east — on the donbas region and of course, on mariupol. russian forces demanded a full surrender from the remaining forces in the besieged city on sunday — but ukrainian forces ignored the demands, vowing to "fight to the end". russia's military says it controls almost all of the city — the areas in red. but it's believed hundreds of members of ukraine's azov battalion are still holding out in azovstal, a huge steelworks overlooking the azov sea. and it's heavily protected, with nuclear bunkers and tunnels throughout, making it a difficult prospect for russian troops. the mariupol mayor says 1,000 civilians are also sheltering in tunnels under the plant. if mariupol were to fall it would allow for a land bridge to crimea, which russia annexed in 2014 — meaning potentially more russian troops could head to the donbas region, which as our defence correspondent jonathan beale reports, is already under heavy attack from multiple angles. this is now the sight and sound of the donbas. severodonetsk, another city and another target for russia's unrelenting bombardment. we tried to enter, to speak to families taking shelter, but the thump of artillery was steadily coming closer. we just came here to go to a shelter, but there's shelling a bit close to us, and so we've had to move out. a lot of crump of artillery going on at the moment. we travelled north to svyatogorsk, once a popular tourist destination. now, it'sjust another town in the donbas from which people flee. translation: what can i say? i'm overwhelmed with grief. i'm 70 years old and i've nowhere to live. the few who have stayed behind have to queue for food. they're notjust hungry, though — they're scared. there is now a strong military presence in this town. just a few miles down the road, russian forces are advancing from the north. a ukrainian soldier shared this drone footage of how they were trying to slow down the russian columns, blowing up a bridge. but they know more will be coming. translation: we know that russian forces are bringing i reinforcements into this region, but we're doing everything possible. we are ready to repel the russian occupiers and prevent the capture of our cities. let's get the analysis of general breedlove — former nato supreme allied commander, europe. thank you so much forjoining us. how do you interpret these attacks that we have been describing to our viewers? 50. that we have been describing to our viewers? ., ., . ., ., viewers? so, the attacks that are ha enin: viewers? so, the attacks that are happening now— viewers? so, the attacks that are happening now in _ viewers? so, the attacks that are happening now in the _ viewers? so, the attacks that are happening now in the donbas - viewers? so, the attacks that are l happening now in the donbas seem viewers? so, the attacks that are - happening now in the donbas seem to be what military thinkers: shaping attacks. and this is kind of a bad sign for ukraine because in the the russians were not doing these kind of things and they were rushing headlong into trouble and now we seem to have a different approach. and then the continuing attacks and mariupol are clearly about trying to bring that town under control so that they can affect the land bridge and then move other endeavours, may be in the direction of 0desa. i understand. i have heard you say that there needs to be a plan not to lose mariupol are to lose 0desa. what do you think that plan with the client? ~ . client? well, the thing that we needed to _ client? well, the thing that we needed to do _ client? well, the thing that we needed to do some _ client? well, the thing that we needed to do some weeks - client? well, the thing that we | needed to do some weeks ago, client? well, the thing that we - needed to do some weeks ago, maybe even now a month ago, was to ensure that we had a capability to get supplies into mariupol. 0ver that we had a capability to get supplies into mariupol. over the past several days we have seen some small units having to give up because they ran out of food and ammunition and that is a failure of our processes to try to make sure that they get the supplies they need and now we have time and 0desa. 0desa is not under the same kind of pressure as mariupol and other parts of the southern parts of the ukraine and so we need to be thinking about how we enable the ukrainians to hold 0desa. what is our plan? that personal pronoun is important. how do we help them hold 0desa? d0 personal pronoun is important. how do we help them hold 0desa? do you think there is — do we help them hold 0desa? do you think there is a _ do we help them hold 0desa? do you think there is a plan? _ do we help them hold odesa? do you think there is a plan? i _ do we help them hold 0desa? do you think there is a plan? i have - do we help them hold 0desa? do you think there is a plan? i have not - think there is a plan? i have not heard one- _ think there is a plan? i have not heard one- i _ think there is a plan? i have not heard one. i certainly _ think there is a plan? i have not heard one. i certainly hope - think there is a plan? i have not heard one. i certainly hope that| think there is a plan? i have not. heard one. i certainly hope that our senior leaders are thinking it through. i senior leaders are thinking it throu~h. ., senior leaders are thinking it throu~h. . ., senior leaders are thinking it throuuh. . . . ~' senior leaders are thinking it throu~h. . ., ., ,, ., through. i have heard you talk about how they have _ through. i have heard you talk about how they have set _ through. i have heard you talk about how they have set other _ through. i have heard you talk about how they have set other points - through. i have heard you talk about how they have set other points so i i how they have set other points so i suppose dropping in, why people might need in those areas, is that something you would even consider or recommend when it comes to mariupol? we have done this in the past, haven't we? we did the berlin aircraft entered supplies into georgia at the 2008 conflict going on so we have, in the past, our nation's, western nations have taken these actions and i hope that our policymakers are now considering such actions to make sure that 0desa doesn't fall at same way that mariupol looks to be headed. so you believe it will _ mariupol looks to be headed. so you believe it will fall? _ mariupol looks to be headed. so you believe it will fall? well, _ mariupol looks to be headed. so you believe it will fall? well, for - mariupol looks to be headed. so you believe it will fall? well, for sure - believe it will fall? well, for sure these are sums _ believe it will fall? well, for sure these are sums tenacious - believe it will fall? well, for sure | these are sums tenacious fighters and it is going to be some time but if we don't get them supplies, eventually it will fall. let if we don't get them supplies, eventually it will fall.- eventually it will fall. let me brin: a eventually it will fall. let me bring a little _ eventually it will fall. let me bring a little of _ eventually it will fall. let me bring a little of what - eventually it will fall. let me bring a little of what i'm - eventually it will fall. let me . bring a little of what i'm reading at the moment. i'm seen the president lansky announces the starch of russia's offensive in the east of ukraine and coming in from reuters news agency right now, mr zelensky�*s chief of staff says the second phase of the war has started again. referring to russia's new eastern assault. is that how you see it? this is the second phase? i am thankfully i am not involved with classified data so then i can talk to you. so i'm listening to the same voices as you are and we have some connections on the ground there, a group of us who are thinkers about and it sure appears that the second phase may be beginning but we don't know. �* ., phase may be beginning but we don't know. �* . , , ., , phase may be beginning but we don't know. �* . ,, ., , , phase may be beginning but we don't know. ~ . , , ., , , ., know. again, russia is being a little bit more _ know. again, russia is being a little bit more cautious - know. again, russia is being a little bit more cautious underi know. again, russia is being a i little bit more cautious under that a bit more smart minded about how they start this attack and i think they start this attack and i think they are trying to from their clear defeat around kyiv. i they are trying to from their clear defeat around kyiv.— defeat around kyiv. i am seen president _ defeat around kyiv. i am seen president zelensky _ defeat around kyiv. i am seen president zelensky saying - defeat around kyiv. i am seen - president zelensky saying russian forces have begun the battle of donbas. i want to turn to another aspect here as we talk about plans. senator chris coons is a close ally of president biden's — take a listen to what he was saying to cbs over the weekend. i think the history of the 215t century— i think the history of the 215t century talent and how fiercely we defend _ century talent and how fiercely we defend freedom in ukraine and that putin will_ defend freedom in ukraine and that putin will only stop when we stop. senator chris coons has tweeted in response to commentary in the us media about his interview — he clarifies "i'm not calling for us troops to go into the war in ukraine." i took a look back on a speech he gave and in the transcription to talk about saying we are willing to 90, talk about saying we are willing to go, when we are willing to go the next step and not to send arms but trips to aid the defence of ukraine. at the answer was never on that, thatis at the answer was never on that, that is sending troops, then we are inviting another level of escalation and brutality by pete n. and, as i mentioned, he is revving back on that. i would say, with that tweet i was just from a couple of hours ago. let me turn to mean, do you think that there can be a change in the strategy when it comes to troops, as that concept at least has been debated or discussed? so that concept at least has been debated or discussed? so let's take a look at what _ debated or discussed? so let's take a look at what the _ debated or discussed? so let's take a look at what the senator - debated or discussed? so let's take a look at what the senator said. - debated or discussed? so let's take a look at what the senator said. to | a look at what the senator said. to me, yesterday, that seemed like he was floating to see what the reaction would be to that, whether it was with the white house approval or not. i don't know. but it seems that the reaction did not go well and he is walking it back now even though a republican member of congress on the january set the commission agreed with him so that says to me someone, either the general reaction to that of the white house, had him walk that back but the two common denominator is we have had to of the war in ukraine by putin, every week including today is not enough supplies, not enough ammunition, not of anything for ukraine to be able to wage the war they need and at the same time pitting the length of the attacking civilian targets including in lviv today. that has been the common denominator here so we know what the problem is. the red requires american troops are not remains to be seen but we things that need to be seen but we things that need to be addressed and we seem to talk about it every day, every week, on day 5a. about it every day, every week, on da 54. ., , ., . day 54. let me turn to you. when we talk about liveth _ day 54. let me turn to you. when we talk about liveth we _ day 54. let me turn to you. when we talk about liveth we are _ day 54. let me turn to you. when we talk about liveth we are talking - talk about liveth we are talking about the strikes that are coming closer to poland. you think something like that could the political debate about when troops might be necessary? i political debate about when troops might be necessary?— political debate about when troops might be necessary? i would do and i think the general's _ might be necessary? i would do and i think the general's reference - might be necessary? i would do and i think the general's reference to - think the general's reference to that takes us back to how we confronted the soviet union. you'll know what lies behind the west's equivocation on ukraine because russia has a legion of nuclear weapons but i said in this programme a few weeks ago and i said it sounded a bit flippant but i said the word leader should visit ukraine and i thought borisjohnson to do physically even president biden. borisjohnson did end up visiting he had, quite a dangerous thing to do. one of the things going round my head and i have been fascinated in the general's you, russia has not formally declared war on ukraine. ukraine is a sovereign nation. why can't they invite foreign troops to come and stay there, frankly, for us troops to stay there. what would russia's reaction be to that because apparently they are carrying out a special military operation in the east so the russians could start targeting lviv and if there are american troops there, and an exercise with ukrainian troops. i don't see how they can get round that one so i if america can push the russians without direct confrontation i think we could advance things better. general? welcome a _ advance things better. general? welcome a couple _ advance things better. general? welcome a couple of _ advance things better. general? welcome a couple of things. - advance things better. general? welcome a couple of things. i i advance things better. general? - welcome a couple of things. i really want to agree with things, both presenters just talked about. the point that is really keen about this russia has not declared war. they are up against a bad pinch. at the dead for more declaration are going to have to send home their conscripts from last year and then the people in the rear are going to start finding out how many are dead. so, as i understand it, they may be contemplating declaring war on ukraine. that way they can freeze last year's on trips and bring on this year conscripts and that brings more power and helps them to hide the deaths so far so there are interesting things about to play out and again, we have options. the west has options that do not require boots on the ground. there was an awful lot of this battle going on at sea and in the air and there are things that western nations could do without bits on the ground.— without bits on the ground. always aood to without bits on the ground. always good to have _ without bits on the ground. always good to have you _ without bits on the ground. always good to have you on _ without bits on the ground. always good to have you on the _ without bits on the ground. always good to have you on the context. l good to have you on the context. thank you so much forjoining us. new research suggests the rising cost of living is prompting more people to cancel their subscriptions to streaming services, such as netflix and disney plus. the kantar worldpanel report found that 16 point 9 million uk households had at least one subscription service — at the end of the first quarter while there were i point 29 million new subscriptions to streaming services in the uk in the first three months of this year — this was outweighed byi point 51 million cancellations, with more than half a million of those attributed to "money saving". let's speak to the tv critic and broadcaster scott bryan. how do you see this? is this all about people tightening their belts? there are a combination of factors here. of course, the cost of living has been in peoples minds and the fact that streaming services have increased their prices. netflix has increased their prices. netflix has increased their price for a second time in just increased their price for a second time injust 18 months and i think there has been sort of some people realising, as we are also spending more time outdoors, realising there were not really going to be spending as much time watching streaming services but i also think that the reason why some people are starting to cut some services may be more than others is because competition is really heated up. i think about two years ago, netflix seem to be the one stop shop for all of the original is that we really wanted to watch but i mean, i did a straw poll on twitter and of course it is madness to do a poll on twitter but as people but what streaming services they were using in many of them are really highlighting the successes of recent hits such as severance on apple tv plus, good drama. the dropout which is on disney plus. there are people realising now that actually if the streaming service does not have something that suits them happy to unsubscribe, go to a new platform procession show and resubscribe down the road. the consumer has more power. the road. the consumer has more ower. , ., the road. the consumer has more ower. , . , . , , power. other streaming services 'ust now beginning — power. other streaming services 'ust now beginning to fl power. other streaming services 'ust now beginning to worki power. other streaming services 'ust now beginning to work out i power. other streaming services 'ust now beginning to work out what h power. other streaming services just i now beginning to work out what human nature is like and what it is prepared to pay for? i nature is like and what it is prepared to pay for? i think so. the big challenge _ prepared to pay for? i think so. the big challenge i _ prepared to pay for? i think so. the big challenge i think— prepared to pay for? i think so. the big challenge i think the _ prepared to pay for? i think so. the big challenge i think the streaming | big challenge i think the streaming services, particularly netflix, is the fact that they are going into a lot of debt in the hope that subscribers will be sticking around for a streaming service for quite a few years yet. so they are expecting future growth to essentially subsidise disband that they are having a wedding because, in the long term, what streaming services wants to be is the one place where you watch all of shows and kind of hoping that rivals will fail. the difficulty is predominantly that it is very hard to go and see what viewers are going to be sticking around for and viewers are going to be sticking around forand i viewers are going to be sticking around for and i think they have realised that actually, viewers can be quite fickle. they go on recommendations on shows rather than the platforms that they tend to stay on. an issue so far with netflix is that growth has really been worryingly stalling. 1.2 million new subscribers joined worryingly stalling. 1.2 million new subscribersjoined up in the worryingly stalling. 1.2 million new subscribers joined up in the last quarter of last year. that of the lowest growth since 2012. they said at the time that they are even expecting worse growth in the first few months of this year so that raises some questions about whether having this big bet on spending a lot of money on shows, doing content at the wall hoping some will stick will actually work out in the long run. . ,., , ., run. are so interesting and i soppose _ run. are so interesting and i soppose that _ run. are so interesting and i suppose that so _ run. are so interesting and i suppose that so many - run. are so interesting and i suppose that so many of. run. are so interesting and i suppose that so many of us | run. are so interesting and i- suppose that so many of us have dabbled in. do you feel yourself changing when it comes to what you will subscribe to, what you will pay for? maybe perhaps a change in now and the deepest darkest days of the pandemic? mil and the deepest darkest days of the nandemic? �* , ., pandemic? all the things i thought i couldn't live — pandemic? all the things i thought i couldn't live without _ pandemic? all the things i thought i couldn't live without an _ pandemic? all the things i thought i couldn't live without an covid - pandemic? all the things i thought i couldn't live without an covid and i couldn't live without an covid and now we _ couldn't live without an covid and now we are — couldn't live without an covid and now we are out and about a little bit more — now we are out and about a little bit more on _ now we are out and about a little bit more on travelling here and there _ bit more on travelling here and there and — bit more on travelling here and there and all that, it is amazing what _ there and all that, it is amazing what you — there and all that, it is amazing what you can live without. it is not needed, _ what you can live without. it is not needed, the — what you can live without. it is not needed, the basic services of cable and internet access, right. those prices _ and internet access, right. those prices have — and internet access, right. those prices have gone up four years and providers— prices have gone up four years and providers assumed everyone would 'ust providers assumed everyone would just go— providers assumed everyone would just go along with it and we did because — just go along with it and we did because it is the gateway to both, right? _ because it is the gateway to both, right? but— because it is the gateway to both, right? but i think the providers overplayed their hands. they thought we can— overplayed their hands. they thought we can do— overplayed their hands. they thought we can do without netflix, hulu and when _ we can do without netflix, hulu and when we _ we can do without netflix, hulu and when we started to emerge from covid and the _ when we started to emerge from covid and the cost _ when we started to emerge from covid and the cost of living going up, it is amazing — and the cost of living going up, it is amazing what people can go without — is amazing what people can go without. it is amazing what people can go without. ., ., , ., without. it makes me think the n-eole without. it makes me think the people going — without. it makes me think the people going out _ without. it makes me think the people going out into - without. it makes me think the people going out into the i without. it makes me think the people going out into the light| people going out into the light after being on the server with the remote control. what about you? hide remote control. what about you? we have remote control. what about you? - have got them all. we've got teenage children so someone this house is watching something on some streaming service. i do understand the point about chopping and changing in counselling when there is nothing on but the idea of having strategic cancelling of subscription services when you've got four different ones going on we have not mentioned music streaming as well. i discovered how much i'm paying for the family subscription to spotter five. the clever thing about streaming is it is this more direct debits, relatively small do go out month by month that you fail to notice. i financial programmes were told about house keeping a check to those direct debits you've long forgotten about and that is what streaming is the think the model may well change and it may well be that you just pay for them, just as it is becoming more common for big box office movie for you to rentjust to see that instead of going to the cinema. flit instead of going to the cinema. of anybody interested myself what i am prepared to vent or pay for. what i will pay for in a movie and all the rest but i'm wondering, is this good news for the near tv channels or their on demand services? does this help them. i their on demand services? does this hel- them. ., their on demand services? does this hel- them. ,, ., their on demand services? does this hel- them. ,, . ., , help them. i think linear tv has held u- help them. i think linear tv has held op better _ help them. i think linear tv has held up better than _ help them. i think linear tv has held up better than a _ help them. i think linear tv has held up better than a lot - help them. i think linear tv has held up better than a lot of- help them. i think linear tv has i held up better than a lot of people thought. then people love watching tv during the evening still. thinking onto the tv because there is that form of key racing. i don't know about you but how many times you been overwhelmed by the amount of new shows out there that you kind of new shows out there that you kind of don't really want to choose which of don't really want to choose which of the reason why bbc three came back to linear tv just a couple of the reason why bbc three came back to linear tvjust a couple of months ago was the bbc realise the power of showcasing some of their new shows and pushing people to iplayer and i was talking to the bbc�*s director of tv and radio quite recently and she said that it was interesting that when the bbc releases a box eskimo series available on iplayer, many people were still sticking around to watch episode five, episode six, when the actually aired on tv. partially i think because of the big communal viewing experience and watching on streaming can be an isolating activity butjust because it is just there. you turn it on and it is done for that we don't have to flick endless menus with all of the trailer shouting at you.- endless menus with all of the trailer shouting at you. they did with the dropout _ trailer shouting at you. they did with the dropout and _ trailer shouting at you. they did with the dropout and they i trailer shouting at you. they did with the dropout and they are l trailer shouting at you. they did i with the dropout and they are doing it with _ with the dropout and they are doing it with style horses which is nick karen, _ it with style horses which is nick karen, one — it with style horses which is nick karen, one of my favourite novelists _ karen, one of my favourite novelists. apple tv is doing this we io novelists. apple tv is doing this we go back— novelists. apple tv is doing this we go back every week to watch the latest _ go back every week to watch the latest episode and it is clever marketing because it brings you back to the _ marketing because it brings you back to the platform to see what else and you will— to the platform to see what else and you will inadvertently see what else is new _ you will inadvertently see what else is new on _ you will inadvertently see what else is new on the platform further than something — is new on the platform further than something like the dropout i would have binged watch in two days if it had all _ have binged watch in two days if it had all been available all at once. ithink— had all been available all at once. i think there is this issue, in my house, anyway, i've having to go through and pick something to watch, ifind it laborious. through and pick something to watch, i find it laborious. there through and pick something to watch, ifind it laborious. there is an argument to pick what to watch because it is almost too much choice. the element about it. i’m choice. the element about it. i'm 'ust choice. the element about it. i'm just trying — choice. the element about it. i'm just trying to _ choice. the element about it. in just trying to play catch up about what is actually on. i think there was a bit more power to the consumer and the fact that so many shows are available on british tv in the first day there might be aired in america are around the world. used at eight it was really frustrating but if you look at netflix, shows a lead in platform all the time. drag race is now only available on world of wonder to be a netflix discovery plus and you've now got a new show thatis plus and you've now got a new show that is going to be star trek. that is not going to be available on netflix any more so for fans trying to find the show the actually like is getting harder and harder. so is getting harderand harder. so good having you on. i tv expert. believe that people are watching some linear tv right now. now, an easter tradition returned to the south lawn of the white house today, after a two—year break due to the pandemic. thousands of families braved cold temperatures and drizzly weather to take part in the white house easter egg roll. this year's theme was, wait for it, �*egg—ucation'. that was first ladyjill biden's idea, herself a teacher. so there was a reading nook, a farm area, and room to play basketball and american football. mr biden kicked off the day on a festive note. have fun today! welcome to the white house. welcome to your house. welcome to the south lawn. thank you and happy, happy easter! thank you and happy, happy easter! the history of the white house easter egg roll goes back to 1878. the focus is of course on the children, and it's considered a happy and relative non—partistan event in an otherwise divicise city. things can get colorful, like in 1927 when first lady grace coolidge entertained a crowd of children by holding up her pet raccoon. not a rabbit, but a raccoon. go figure. first ladies often get the chance to shine at such events, including eleanor roosevelt taking part in the event in 1936. the egg roll is a chance for the first couple to share the spotlight, like in 1982 when ronald and nancy reagan found themselves literally surrounded by easter cheer. and for presidents of all political stripes, it's a chance ot show their softer side. here's president 0bama, bending down to speak with kids who are taking part in the competition. i want to turn back to you. talking about emerging into the sunlight. this had a huge turnout. i've had 30,000 people came. what this had a huge turnout. i've had 30,000 people came.— this had a huge turnout. i've had 30,000 people came. what you make of this? well, 30,000 — 30,000 people came. what you make of this? well, 30,000 people _ 30,000 people came. what you make of this? well, 30,000 people at _ 30,000 people came. what you make of this? well, 30,000 people at the - this? well, 30,000 people at the easter role. i know a number of parents who brought their kids personally and competed to get in there to make sure they could. and you had 30,000 runners in the boston marathon today. i think what you look at and say it is another sign that, you know, the country is opening up again. people think of it is over however, at the very same time we had a super spider event in washington, dc two weeks ago when 80 plus journalists got covid at the gridiron dinner. you can see up and down the east coast cases of hospitalisation is really starting to come up a lot. even though philadelphia and the judge to come up a lot. even though philadelphia and thejudge ruled against it today. igiigiiiiii philadelphia and the 'udge ruled against it today._ against it today. will talk about that a little _ against it today. will talk about that a little later _ against it today. will talk about that a little later in _ against it today. will talk about that a little later in the - against it today. will talk about i that a little later in the programme built up we can't underestimate the enthusiasm for get—togethers after a couple of years of cancellations and not seeing family and friends. more to come here on the context on bbc news. stay with us. hello there. it was a noticeably fresher day today across the board. there was some good spells of sunshine particularly across the east and southeast of england, a few showers further north and west. tonight, it's going to turn chilly with a cool air mass in place, clear skies, particularly across scotland and northern ireland, could see a touch of frost. there will still be a few showers lingering around as well. it's all down to this area of low pressure, which has been sitting to the northwest of the uk. quite a few isobars on the charts close to the northwest of scotland, so, here, it has been windy, but the winds will continue to ease down through the course of the night. you can see that blue hue indicating that cooler air mass, which will be pretty much across the country through this evening and overnight. a bit of cloud toward central, southern and eastern england, one or two showers here. some showery bursts of rain for the northwest of scotland too, thanks to a weather front, but for the rest of scotland and northern ireland, clear skies leading to a cold night here, a touch of frost. a chilly night to come as well for much of england and wales, particularly towards the west and across wales. so we start tomorrow on a chilly note. that's how our tuesday begins. plenty of sunshine in the north away from that weather front in the northwest. there will still be a few showers there. and showers will develop pretty widely across england and wales, i think, through the afternoon. a few of them could turn out to be quite heavy. and the winds will be lighter as well to what we've had throughout monday. so, those showers will be slow—moving, but it will be a cooler day still on tuesday, with temperatures ranging from 12—15 degrees. a ridge of high pressure begins to exert its force across the country for wednesday. so that means wednesday, i think, for most of us, is going to be a largely dry day. there will be bits and pieces of cloud around to start with. it will be another chilly start as well, but there should be quite a bit of sunshine around through the day. a bit of an easterly breeze picking up across the east of england there. that will make it feel cooler along north sea coasts. but i think the best temperatures will be across more southern and western areas. could see highs of 17—18 degrees. towards the end of the week, the area of low pressure, which has been sitting out to the west of us, will dive southwards into biscay and iberia. it could affect the very far south of england as we move into the weekend, but i think thursday and friday will be influenced by this big area of high pressure to the north of the uk. and that will bring us pretty strong, brisk easterly winds for both thursday and friday. so that will make it feel quite chilly, particularly along north sea coasts. probably the best of the weather and the high temperatures will be further west. hello, i'm nuala mcgovern. you're watching the context on bbc news. breaking news this hour — ukraine's president says russia's large scale offensive — to take control of the east of ukraine — has begun. president putin says the west has scored an own goal by imposing sanctions against russia — but moscow's mayor says thousands ofjobs are at risk in the city. borisjohnson will address mps tomorrow — the first time since being fined for breaching covid rules — will he do enough to win back the public? and — as a new teaser trailer for the top gun sequel is released — find out which one of our panel has a connection to the film's star. tonight with the context, from london former culture secretary and now conservative peer ed vaizey and democratic strategist mary anne marsh who's in cape cod. welcome back to the programme. when russia launched its invasion of ukraine almost two months ago, the west hit back with sanctions. and, depending on who you ask in moscow — you might get a different perspective about how damaging the restrictions have been. according to the mayor, sergei soby—anin, western sanctions could be devastating for the capital — causing more than 200,000 job losses. he said more than 60,000 people have already been laid off because foreign companies left russia, or suspended their operations. but according to president putin, instead of hurting russia — the west have scored an own goal by enforcing sanctions we can already confidently say that such a policy towards russia has failed. the strategy of economic blitzkrieg has failed. moreover, the sanctions had an effect on initiators themselves. i am talking about the growth of inflation and unemployment, the deterioration of economic dynamics in the us and european countries. joining me now is sergey gor—yash—ka, from bbc russian. welcome to the show. thank you for joining us. it is impossible to know what the economic situation is like on the ground when we get these competing narratives? flit on the ground when we get these competing narratives?— competing narratives? of course there are some _ competing narratives? of course there are some true _ competing narratives? of course there are some true words i competing narratives? of course there are some true words from| competing narratives? of course i there are some true words from the mayor who is telling us that's hundreds of thousands of people can lose theirjobs and with the withdrawal of foreign companies for moscow. he suggested people who just lost theirjobs to join moscow governments and to work as public servants in moscow public parks. it's quite difficult imagining the situation where an it experts will be working as a public survey in a park gathering leaves are cutting trees or something like that. but that's what he has suggested. as for putin's claims about their information into in countries which has imposed sanctions on russia, putin actually also told that information in russia is quite high. he mentioned that merging of families and ordinary people in russia will soon feel the consequences of the information just on their family consequences of the information just on theirfamily budget. consequences of the information just on their family budget. but still it's very difficult to count the consequences of the sanctions because it's been owning less than two months and it will be consequences on the russian economy will come later. i consequences on the russian economy will come later-— will come later. i was wondering if somebody goes — will come later. i was wondering if somebody goes to _ will come later. i was wondering if somebody goes to a _ will come later. i was wondering if somebody goes to a supermarketl will come later. i was wondering if i somebody goes to a supermarket or into a store to buy things are there things not fair that would have been there previously? does it trickle down in that way yet? it’s there previously? does it trickle down in that way yet?— there previously? does it trickle down in that way yet? it's not that bad week for _ down in that way yet? it's not that bad week for things _ down in that way yet? it's not that bad week for things disappearing i bad week for things disappearing from the supermarkets, still people who would walk in the mall and trying to search for their favourite closed shop will be disappointed because there is no h&m and nocera and no other clothing brands which are popular among russians in moscow instance and they would be feeling quite sad to discover that some restaurants like mcdonald's for instance has stopped operating in moscow but this can be consequences like those with big projects have the possibility to go shopping frequently and as we talked about ordinary russians who visit supermarkets buying food they would be also shocked with the price in the supermarkets which started growing since russian invasion in ukraine in february and are still growing now and that happens while salaries are not going that fast and with people who are not getting enough money. it could be even worse than during the covid—19 pandemic when the russian economy has been seriously hit and started rebuilding exams for spring 2020 and now another recession so pretty much soon people will feel that they cannot afford those goods which they were able to avoid months earlier because of their galloping prices. he is coming out at such a difficult time as well as covid—19. what about putting's point that the last have scored an own goal basically saying that the west is going to feel the impact of the sanctions. we are all interconnected. $5 impact of the sanctions. we are all interconnected.— impact of the sanctions. we are all interconnected. as you know there is a famous british _ interconnected. as you know there is a famous british political— interconnected. as you know there is a famous british political phrase i a famous british political phrase almost — a famous british political phrase almost 60 years ago where somebody said he _ almost 60 years ago where somebody said he would say that wouldn't he? putin— said he would say that wouldn't he? putin cannot really say anything else but— putin cannot really say anything else but it's quite clear there is some _ else but it's quite clear there is some interconnection and it's interesting in a globalised interconnected world how the west has been _ interconnected world how the west has been able to cut russia out of the global— has been able to cut russia out of the global economic system. but there's— the global economic system. but there's still some messy stuff particularly with energy. i have no doubt _ particularly with energy. i have no doubt at _ particularly with energy. i have no doubt at all that the sanctions are having _ doubt at all that the sanctions are having an — doubt at all that the sanctions are having an impact. 0ne doubt at all that the sanctions are having an impact. one of the arguments he is again sanctions is it hits _ arguments he is again sanctions is it hits ordinary people more than 8000 _ it hits ordinary people more than 8000 the — it hits ordinary people more than 8000 the elite. we have hit the elite as — 8000 the elite. we have hit the elite as well. i think it it it hits ordinary— elite as well. i think it it it hits ordinary people and they said it will not — ordinary people and they said it will not change the world but if people — will not change the world but if people are losing theirjobs in moscow— people are losing theirjobs in moscow and elsewhere and at the country _ moscow and elsewhere and at the country is — moscow and elsewhere and at the country is in recession one would hope _ country is in recession one would hope that— country is in recession one would hope that would filter through to the public because putin of course he rests _ the public because putin of course he rests his — the public because putin of course he rests his power on fear and on propaganda but is an element as well of stability _ propaganda but is an element as well of stability and economic security. he already— of stability and economic security. he already had back in a massive row about— he already had back in a massive row about changing the pension system in russia _ about changing the pension system in russia and _ about changing the pension system in russia and if ordinary russians feel putin— russia and if ordinary russians feel putin is— russia and if ordinary russians feel putin is not— russia and if ordinary russians feel putin is not ready after then that may help — putin is not ready after then that may help us in the last bring about an inch _ may help us in the last bring about an inch to— may help us in the last bring about an inch to the terrible war in ukraine _ an inch to the terrible war in ukraine. ., an inch to the terrible war in ukraine-— an inch to the terrible war in ukraine. ., ,., . ,, ., i. ukraine. let me go back to you seriei. ukraine. let me go back to you sergei- do _ ukraine. let me go back to you sergei- do we _ ukraine. let me go back to you sergei. do we know— ukraine. let me go back to you sergei. do we know if- ukraine. let me go back to you sergei. do we know if this i ukraine. let me go back to you i sergei. do we know if this feeling about the imposition of sanctions whether it's created animosity towards the west and has it affected mr putin in any way briefly? i wanted to tell the statements that sanctions hits western countries even more than russia and it's a regular playbook. he tells that since 2014 when first sanctions were imposed to russia when russia annexed crimea and stare when you looked at economic values we see that of course it has hit russia much more than it hits western countries. but in this case if we are talking about peoples assessment of the situation and peoples views on putin's policies, it's a very strange thing that's when authorities do something with the economy people can be disappointed but when we are talking about sanctions which the consequences of actions russian people usually stand with the government and public putin and even giving very hard times they see it as western aggression. so it would be an expected situation if putin really lost lots of political points. —— unexpected. the sanctions are the worst things in the situation.— are the worst things in the situation. ., ,, , ., , . an investigative group in canada says both downing street and foreign office computer systems were infected with spyware. it says it informed officials that so—called pegasus software, which is used by governments to carry out espionage on people's phones, was discovered on the systems but it is not clear what data might have been taken. joining me now is our security correspondent, gordon corera for people not familiar with the pegasus spyware, talk us through more of that and also what was found. ., , , , more of that and also what was found. ., , , ., ,., ., more of that and also what was found. , , ., ., . ., found. pegasus is a software created b an found. pegasus is a software created by an israeli — found. pegasus is a software created by an israeli based _ found. pegasus is a software created by an israeli based company - found. pegasus is a software created by an israeli based company which i found. pegasus is a software created by an israeli based company which it| by an israeli based company which it said it sold to government for legitimate law enforcement purposes and intelligence gathering purposes and intelligence gathering purposes and it has the ability to effectively take control of your phone and turn your phone into a spy and it allows someone using pegasus to extract all the data on the phone to extract all the data on the phone to switch on the microphones and to collect information from apes. so a very powerful tool and it has been controversial because a group reporting about pegasus, a consortium last year obtained leaked documents which they said suggested that pegasus could have been used to target human rights activists and politicians and journalists around the world. in an excel group denied that and they said that data was misinterpreted and it has not been used in that way. the latest allegation comes from the lab a canadian —based investigative group along with reporting parking by the new yorker magazine reported on spain and some of the software and groups campaigning for catalan independence but they also say that suspected pegasus software found in the foreign office and also in 10 downing street. the uk government has not commented on that and says it does not comment on security matters and the excel group has said it is false and it's impossible technically and contractually and there's a conspiracy or than vendetta against the company by investigative groups. so we don't know exactly who was infected or what if any data was stolen but clearly this will be a matter of some concern and likely to be of investigation for the uk government. thank you so much. in the united states — a federaljudge in florida has voided a national mask mandate — covering planes and other public transport — ruling that the covid—19 mitigation measure exceeds the authority of federal health officials. the mask mandate was recently extended by the cdc until 3 may. thejustice department is reviewing the judge's decision. these developments come on the very same day that the city of philadelphia is asking its residents to mask—up once again. it comes on the doctor payal patel is an infectious diseases physician at the university of michigan, and shejoins me now. how do you see this particular ruling about whether to mask or not to mask on planes and public transportation? i to mask on planes and public transportation?— to mask on planes and public transportation? i think there has been a lot going _ transportation? i think there has been a lot going on _ transportation? i think there has been a lot going on in _ transportation? i think there has been a lot going on in terms i transportation? i think there has been a lot going on in terms of l been a lot going on in terms of thinking about all of this in the last few days. one of the things i think public health experts are really thinking about is we often follow what happens in england a few months after and we have seen with the sub variant ba two that they have been more infections in england that really seem to peak in march and we are beginning to see here in the united states marquesas and i think that is what led to the city of philadelphia thinking about the mask mandates and by the cdc had thought about seeing what happened in the next few weeks before they made a decision on masking and aeroplanes and public transportation. i think perhaps it would have been best to wait for some of that data before making that decision that we have seen today from thatjudge. d0 decision that we have seen today from that judge.— decision that we have seen today from that judge. from that 'udge. do you feel this is a iublic from thatjudge. do you feel this is a public health _ from thatjudge. do you feel this is a public health decision _ from thatjudge. do you feel this is a public health decision or- from thatjudge. do you feel this is a public health decision or are i from thatjudge. do you feel this is a public health decision or are theyj a public health decision or are they still at times political? i a public health decision or are they still at times political?— still at times political? i think my ho -e is still at times political? i think my hope is that _ still at times political? i think my hope is that it — still at times political? i think my hope is that it would _ still at times political? i think my hope is that it would always i still at times political? i think my hope is that it would always be a| hope is that it would always be a public health decision. i think sometimes we get lost in peace and that we think this is all new but really things like public health law have been around for more than a hundred years and we first saw things like this in the 1900s when judges and courts had to decide what to do about vaccination with smallpox and we are seeing over time and during the time of covid—19 that sometimes politics are coming into this more than they ever have before. so i think the best thing in the safest thing for the public is to make these decisions based on public health and data. what to make these decisions based on public health and data.— to make these decisions based on public health and data. what do you think, can it — public health and data. what do you think, can it be _ public health and data. what do you think, can it be left _ public health and data. what do you think, can it be left up— public health and data. what do you think, can it be left up to the i think, can it be left up to the public to decide what they want to do? i think i would be wearing a mask on the cube for the rest of time. it can get very crowded in there. why does it have to come from there. why does it have to come from the cdc or any government mandates to get people to wear them? i the cdc or any government mandates to get people to wear them?- to get people to wear them? i think the best guidance _ to get people to wear them? i think the best guidance possible - to get people to wear them? i think the best guidance possible from i the best guidance possible from public— the best guidance possible from public health entities including the cdc or— public health entities including the cdc or the white house should be worth— cdc or the white house should be worth coming from unfortunately this ruling _ worth coming from unfortunately this ruling is _ worth coming from unfortunately this ruling is politics. and politics is what _ ruling is politics. and politics is what has — ruling is politics. and politics is what has driven the entire covid—19 experience — what has driven the entire covid—19 experience certainly in the united states _ experience certainly in the united states. the judge who will be on this today, a 33—year—old lifetime appointment to a judicial post was deemed _ appointment to a judicial post was deemed unworthy and unacceptable by the american bar association when she was— the american bar association when she was up— the american bar association when she was up for this appointment by donald _ she was up for this appointment by donald trump who appointed her after he lost _ donald trump who appointed her after he lost the _ donald trump who appointed her after he lost the election. sol donald trump who appointed her after he lost the election. so i think that— he lost the election. so i think that tells— he lost the election. so i think that tells you a lot right there. and it — that tells you a lot right there. and it comes at the same time when you have _ and it comes at the same time when you have to— and it comes at the same time when you have to white house covid—19 director— you have to white house covid—19 director saying if you are 60 or over— director saying if you are 60 or over go— director saying if you are 60 or over go get the second booster shot and if— over go get the second booster shot and if you _ over go get the second booster shot and if you are immunocompromised go get the _ and if you are immunocompromised go get the second booster shot. and at the same _ get the second booster shot. and at the same time here in the us if you are five years old or younger you don't _ are five years old or younger you don't have — are five years old or younger you don't have a _ are five years old or younger you don't have a shot yet. there are not masks _ don't have a shot yet. there are not masks that— don't have a shot yet. there are not masks that fit you that are and 95 so as— masks that fit you that are and 95 so as we — masks that fit you that are and 95 so as we watch the cases race up the east coast _ so as we watch the cases race up the east coast from florida to washington or new or new england are all increasing and is a lot of concern _ all increasing and is a lot of concern and it's sad that politics has really — concern and it's sad that politics has really derailed the best public health— has really derailed the best public health efforts you could've possibly seen during the pandemic that we have not— seen during the pandemic that we have not seen in over a hundred years _ have not seen in over a hundred years |— have not seen in over a hundred ears. ., , have not seen in over a hundred ears. . , ., have not seen in over a hundred ears, ., , ., ., have not seen in over a hundred ears, .,, ., ., , ., have not seen in over a hundred years. i was on a plane the other week and — years. i was on a plane the other week and it _ years. i was on a plane the other week and it was _ years. i was on a plane the other week and it was not _ years. i was on a plane the other week and it was not mandatory l week and it was not mandatory anywhere but everybody where it and it went through the pain that if one person wear it and everybody where it and i think it's the opposite and other forms of public transportation that i have been on here. how do you see this coming? i that i have been on here. how do you see this coming?— see this coming? i was on a flight from the us _ see this coming? i was on a flight from the us to _ see this coming? i was on a flight from the us to uk _ see this coming? i was on a flight from the us to uk last _ see this coming? i was on a flight from the us to uk last week i see this coming? i was on a flight from the us to uk last week and l see this coming? i was on a flight| from the us to uk last week and it was an— from the us to uk last week and it was an example _ from the us to uk last week and it was an example of— from the us to uk last week and it was an example of the _ from the us to uk last week and it was an example of the us - from the us to uk last week and it was an example of the us law i from the us to uk last week and it was an example of the us law and | was an example of the us law and even _ was an example of the us law and even intimate _ was an example of the us law and even intimate —— _ was an example of the us law and even intimate —— international- even intimate —— international airspace — even intimate —— international airspace the _ even intimate —— international airspace the politics _ even intimate —— international airspace the politics of- even intimate —— international. airspace the politics of covid—19 even intimate —— international- airspace the politics of covid—19 in the uk _ airspace the politics of covid—19 in the uk have — airspace the politics of covid—19 in the uk have been— airspace the politics of covid—19 in the uk have been much— airspace the politics of covid—19 in the uk have been much less - the uk have been much less pronounced _ the uk have been much less pronounced and _ the uk have been much less pronounced and they- the uk have been much less pronounced and they have i the uk have been much less i pronounced and they have been the uk have been much less - pronounced and they have been in the us and _ pronounced and they have been in the us and in_ pronounced and they have been in the us and in the — pronounced and they have been in the us and in the us— pronounced and they have been in the us and in the us as— pronounced and they have been in the us and in the us as an _ pronounced and they have been in the us and in the us as an element - us and in the us as an element of states— us and in the us as an element of states versus _ us and in the us as an element of states versus federal— us and in the us as an element of states versus federal and - states versus federal and individual governors — states versus federal and individual governors i— states versus federal and individual governors i was _ states versus federal and individual governors i was in _ states versus federal and individual governors. i was in florida - states versus federal and individual governors. i was in florida so- states versus federal and individual governors. i was in florida so this i governors. ! was in florida so this individual— governors. i was in florida so this individual governor _ governors. i was in florida so this individual governor making - governors. i was in florida so this individual governor making a i governors. i was in florida so this individual governor making a play| governors. i was in florida so this i individual governor making a play to their electorate. _ individual governor making a play to their electorate. nevertheless, i- their electorate. nevertheless, i have _ their electorate. nevertheless, i have i_ their electorate. nevertheless, i have i am — their electorate. nevertheless, i have i am not— their electorate. nevertheless, i have i am not a _ their electorate. nevertheless, i have i am not a lockdown - their electorate. nevertheless, i| have i am not a lockdown sceptic their electorate. nevertheless, i- have i am not a lockdown sceptic but given _ have i am not a lockdown sceptic but given that _ have i am not a lockdown sceptic but given that party _ have i am not a lockdown sceptic but given that party gate, _ have i am not a lockdown sceptic but given that party gate, they— have i am not a lockdown sceptic but given that party gate, they are - have i am not a lockdown sceptic but given that party gate, they are very. given that party gate, they are very imposing _ given that party gate, they are very imposing during _ given that party gate, they are very imposing during covid—19 _ given that party gate, they are very imposing during covid—19 and - given that party gate, they are very imposing during covid—19 and we i given that party gate, they are very. imposing during covid—19 and we lost silht imposing during covid—19 and we lost sight of— imposing during covid—19 and we lost sight of what — imposing during covid—19 and we lost sight of what was _ imposing during covid—19 and we lost sight of what was most _ imposing during covid—19 and we lost sight of what was most effective i imposing during covid—19 and we lost sight of what was most effective to i sight of what was most effective to reduce _ sight of what was most effective to reduce transmission _ sight of what was most effective to reduce transmission and _ sight of what was most effective to reduce transmission and what i sight of what was most effective to reduce transmission and what wasl reduce transmission and what was impacting — reduce transmission and what was impacting on— reduce transmission and what was impacting on peoples— reduce transmission and what was impacting on peoples lives. - impacting on peoples lives. personally— impacting on peoples lives. personally i_ impacting on peoples lives. personally i am _ impacting on peoples lives. personally i am happy- impacting on peoples lives. i personally i am happy within the impacting on peoples lives. - personally i am happy within the uk all restrictions— personally i am happy within the uk all restrictions have _ personally i am happy within the uk all restrictions have been _ personally i am happy within the uk all restrictions have been lifted i all restrictions have been lifted and people _ all restrictions have been lifted and people go— all restrictions have been lifted and people go about _ all restrictions have been lifted and people go about their- all restrictions have been lifted and people go about their daily lives _ and people go about their daily lives i— and people go about their daily lives i know— and people go about their daily lives. i know people _ and people go about their daily lives. i know people are - and people go about their daily| lives. i know people are getting covid-is — lives. i know people are getting covid—19. lots— lives. i know people are getting covid—19. lots my— lives. i know people are getting covid—19. lots my people - lives. i know people are getting covid—19. lots my people i- lives. i know people are gettingi covid—19. lots my people i know lives. i know people are getting - covid—19. lots my people i know have had covid-19 — covid—19. lots my people i know have had covid—19 since _ covid—19. lots my people i know have had covid—19 since these _ had covid—19 since these restrictions— had covid—19 since these restrictions were - had covid—19 since these restrictions were lifted i had covid—19 since these i restrictions were lifted but had covid—19 since these - restrictions were lifted but they have _ restrictions were lifted but they have not— restrictions were lifted but they have not been— restrictions were lifted but they have not been serious- restrictions were lifted but they have not been serious cases i restrictions were lifted but they- have not been serious cases although i have not been serious cases although i know— have not been serious cases although i know statistics _ have not been serious cases although i know statistics say _ have not been serious cases although i know statistics say more _ have not been serious cases although i know statistics say more people i i know statistics say more people are being — i know statistics say more people are being hospitalised _ i know statistics say more people are being hospitalised at- i know statistics say more people are being hospitalised at the i are being hospitalised at the moment _ are being hospitalised at the moment. nevertheless- are being hospitalised at the moment. nevertheless i- are being hospitalised at the i moment. nevertheless i don't are being hospitalised at the - moment. nevertheless i don't think we can— moment. nevertheless i don't think we can keep — moment. nevertheless i don't think we can keep going— moment. nevertheless i don't think we can keep going back— moment. nevertheless i don't think we can keep going back in - moment. nevertheless i don't think we can keep going back in and i moment. nevertheless i don't think we can keep going back in and out i moment. nevertheless i don't thinkl we can keep going back in and out of lockdown _ we can keep going back in and out of lockdown i— we can keep going back in and out of lockdown. ithink— we can keep going back in and out of lockdown. i think we _ we can keep going back in and out of lockdown. i think we should - lockdown. i think we should keep moving _ lockdown. i think we should keep moving forward. _ lockdown. ! think we should keep moving forward. if— lockdown. i think we should keep moving forward. if that's - lockdown. i think we should keep moving forward. if that's political iapologise — moving forward. if that's political iapologise but— moving forward. if that's political i apologise but that's _ moving forward. if that's political i apologise but that's my- moving forward. if that's political i apologise but that's my view. i moving forward. if that's political i apologise but that's my view. [i moving forward. if that's political. i apologise but that's my view. i am“ i apologise but that's my view. i am thinkini of i apologise but that's my view. i am thinking of some _ i apologise but that's my view. i am thinking of some of— i apologise but that's my view. i am thinking of some of the _ i apologise but that's my view. thinking of some of the scene i apologise but that's my viewm thinking of some of the scene from shanghai which has been in lockdown and it's amazing how different it can be in different parts of the world. a quick question for you doctor. i came across this headline. 0micron xv, how concerning is this frankenstein covid—19 variant, i want to know how concerning is it? what i think i'm any infectious disease experts think is we will continue to see new variants along the way but our hope is that iris will continue to begin out over time so i tell the public held off before you think about scaring —— be scary titles. get vaccinated and see what happens. titles. get vaccinated and see what ha- ens. ., ., titles. get vaccinated and see what ha- ens. ., ~' ,, ., titles. get vaccinated and see what ha- ens. ., ., ., ., titles. get vaccinated and see what ha- ens. ., ~' ., ., , buffoon — untrustworthy — leader — just three of the words used to describe boris johnson. but the most common word — was liar. this is a wordcloud — put together by the polling companyjl partners. they asked 2000 voters what they thought of the prime minister. it was a nationally representative sample of the population — and 72 percent of the responses were negative. tomorrow the prime ministerfaces mps from across the house in parliament for the first since he was fined for breaching covid rules — and then he'll address his own party in the evening. let me throw this to you. are you surprised when you hear about that word cloud or look at it? plat word cloud or look at it? not reall . word cloud or look at it? not really- one _ word cloud or look at it? not really. one has _ word cloud or look at it? not really. one has to _ word cloud or look at it? iirrt really. one has to put it in context. the phenomenon that boris johnson is. a lot of those words were being used about him two or five years ago. the words that are missing of course in that word cloud which is what is projected iris into number 10 downing street are things like entertaining and charismatic and someone like us and someone i would like to have a drink with. i think it would concern me if i was in downing street so i think boris johnson will win the next election and it would concern me because the positive words are missing. negative words are not unusual in the association with borisjohnson but what is clear is rather than leveraging some of the positive traits that people appreciated with borisjohnson. you traits that people appreciated with borisjohnson-— traits that people appreciated with boris johnson. you say you believe ou would boris johnson. you say you believe you would get _ boris johnson. you say you believe you would get elected _ boris johnson. you say you believe you would get elected again i boris johnson. you say you believe you would get elected again and i boris johnson. you say you believe you would get elected again and a | you would get elected again and a lot of people here are looking towards the local elections in first week of may and expecting it to be a referendum on his leadership but do you think let's fast—forward to the second week of may, how do you think it will look? i second week of may, how do you think it will look? ., second week of may, how do you think it will look? . . ., , ., ., it will look? i wear elections are a bit like the _ it will look? i wear elections are a bit like the us — it will look? i wear elections are a bit like the us midterms - it will look? i wear elections are a bit like the us midterms itself- it will look? i wear elections are a bit like the us midterms itself a i bit like the us midterms itself a snapshot of public opinion although a more nuanced because they will be happening in different areas and a lot in cities where supporters are not always as strong as labour supporters. pilarski already to wife the labour party but they will be a verdict on borisjohnson. people don't actually vote on who will more effectively collect their rubbish bins they tend to vote on what they think of the government and what they think is dictated by the prime minister said tory mps will be looking carefully at these results and will make a judgement call but i do not think they will be as bad as people think and i think downing street would be able to spin their way out of the if they are negative results and i think the key thing is no obvious success —— successor why do i think the opposition has proved itself to be an alternative government. that is not a party political point that is a political observation point. the political point that is a political observation point.— political point that is a political observation point. the fact is it's a crippling _ observation point. the fact is it's a crippling place _ observation point. the fact is it's a crippling place to _ observation point. the fact is it's a crippling place to be _ observation point. the fact is it's a crippling place to be and i observation point. the fact is it's a crippling place to be and there | observation point. the fact is it's i a crippling place to be and there is no one to — a crippling place to be and there is no one to replace him. so when 72% of the electorate say you are a liar that means — of the electorate say you are a liar that means they don't trust you. at an impossible place to be from but for a successor to borisjohnson if there _ for a successor to borisjohnson if there was— for a successor to borisjohnson if there was one i think he would have been _ there was one i think he would have been forced — there was one i think he would have been forced out of office by now. they— been forced out of office by now. they may — been forced out of office by now. they may not be one. so the problem for boris _ they may not be one. so the problem for borisjohnson is leading the country— for borisjohnson is leading the country through not the easiest times — country through not the easiest times. still have to deal with covid-is _ times. still have to deal with covid—19. there is a war in ukraine and if— covid—19. there is a war in ukraine and if you — covid—19. there is a war in ukraine and if you don't tell the truth it's very— and if you don't tell the truth it's very hard — and if you don't tell the truth it's very hard for people who you leave today— very hard for people who you leave today leave you on the big things and that's— today leave you on the big things and that's a toxic place for any politician — and that's a toxic place for any politician could be. 72% of the people — politician could be. 72% of the people calling you a liar, it's a tough — people calling you a liar, it's a tough place to bounce back from. thank _ tough place to bounce back from. thank you — tough place to bounce back from. thank you very much. now...i feel the need, not for speed, but for something to end the show on — and today it's — why not? — top gun maverick. the sequel to the 80's tom cruies classic was supposed to come out in 2020, but the pandemic delayed its release. the us premiere is now may 27th. one of our panellists acted as a wingman to cruise — sort of. but first here's a clip that maverick himself tweeted out earlier today on the training the actors went through. the aviation sequences had to be real. fellow actors went through three months of grueling training. the navy says if you eject you have to be able to survive in the water. i had to really teach them cinematography so they understand what's going to look good on camera. everybody thought it would be impossible for actors to be in the jets. but that's the gift that tom gave us and by the time we got up there we could handle it. ijust i just left back. the ijust left back. the lengths that people are prepared to go to to do theirjob. when i started looking into it as i began to realise that perhaps you have a closer connection than any of the rest of us here to tom cruise. talk me through something. i tom cruise. talk me through something-— something. i said to your producer... _ something. i said to your producer... we - something. i said to your producer... we had i something. i said to your producer... we had a - something. i said to your- producer... we had a week-long producer... we had a week—long bromance when i was the fm minister and he did a screening for any of a film he did aboutjack which is a series of novels and he did a screening for me and he invited me onto the set and my wife went to the premiere of his film and your member wife when he came backstage and i have nothing but good to say about tom cruise. he was a marvellous man and it's amazing every time you say you met tom cruise people talk about scientology but he's a consummate professional and utterly charming and my wife's favourite film is top gun and i planned for her birthday to do a screening of top gun two for her. time if you are watching and i am sure you are, i know you watch bbc context, i am waiting for that e—mail saying top gun mavericks screening at your pleasure. find e-mail saying top gun mavericks screening at your pleasure. and he's very welcome _ screening at your pleasure. and he's very welcome to _ screening at your pleasure. and he's very welcome to come _ screening at your pleasure. and he's very welcome to come on _ screening at your pleasure. and he's very welcome to come on as - screening at your pleasure. and he's very welcome to come on as a - screening at your pleasure. and he's very welcome to come on as a guestl very welcome to come on as a guest panelist. you saw these actors put through boot camp and i was wondering how far have you gone in the name of doing thejob wondering how far have you gone in the name of doing the job well? is it too much? the name of doing the 'ob well? is it too mint the name of doing the 'ob well? is it too much? impressive what they went to the _ it too much? impressive what they went to the to _ it too much? impressive what they went to the to make _ it too much? impressive what they went to the to make the _ it too much? impressive what they went to the to make the movie - it too much? impressive what they| went to the to make the movie look authentic_ went to the to make the movie look authentic especially in this day when — authentic especially in this day when there is so much animation going _ when there is so much animation going on— when there is so much animation going on but for me personally the original— going on but for me personally the original top guns is validated my teeth_ original top guns is validated my teeth in— original top guns is validated my teeth in sunglasses and i have one bill aviators ever since. you teeth in sunglasses and i have one bill aviators ever since.— bill aviators ever since. you don't have a pair _ bill aviators ever since. you don't have a pair on — bill aviators ever since. you don't have a pair on your _ bill aviators ever since. you don't have a pair on your handy? - bill aviators ever since. you don't have a pair on your handy? i - bill aviators ever since. you don't have a pair on your handy? i willl have a pair on your handy? i will not ut have a pair on your handy? i will not put them — have a pair on your handy? i will not put them on _ have a pair on your handy? i will not put them on but _ have a pair on your handy? i will not put them on but here - have a pair on your handy? i will not put them on but here you go. thank— not put them on but here you go. thank you — not put them on but here you go. thank you both so much. it's been great having you on. we will be back tomorrow. pleasejoin us great having you on. we will be back tomorrow. please join us on the context and thank you for watching. temperatures were around 70 degrees. for the rest of this week it looks like it will be cooler than what we are used to over the easter weekend. they will be a few showers around as well with some spells of sunshine and it looks like it will turn dry for the end of the week. nights will continue to be chilly and grey skies are clear but it's fresher air mass and we are between weather systems so winds will be light. we have got a cooler air mass around us so it will be another cool day. a cold start with a touch of frost across parts of scotland and northern ireland and have this weather front across the northwest of scotland bringing showers otherwise some sunshine here. sunny spells with cloud and showers for england and wales. some of the showers can be heavy and slow moving as the winds to be light across in light winds as well for the northwest of scotland. 1a or 15 degrees and as low as about 10 or ii across the north of scotland. as we head into tuesday night we will see clouds and showers pushing last. skies are cloudy with those of four to 8 degrees and skies are clear and we will see a touch of frost. on wednesday high pressure is strengthening across scandinavia keeping low pressure system out at bay which will remain out in the atlantic. northern ireland and the rest of britain will be dry thru wednesday. some clouds and sunshine and an eastern breeze developing across england and it may take the edge of the temperatures here. head england for west and you could see highs of 18 degrees. somewhat warmer on wednesday with some sunshine. wednesday into thursday the high pressure is strengthening. it will push this area of low pressure towards the southwest of the country. it never makes inroads because of this area of high pressure. thursday is a dry unsettled day thanks to high pressure. but the wind from the east or north will be strong and turn colder across the north sea coast and eastern scotland and england with some low cloud. the temperatures will be further west with highs of 17 degrees. for friday low pressure will be sitting across iberia with high pressure in control to the north of the uk bringing in northeast winds which will be strong at times. it will take the edge of the temperatures but across north sea coast and we can see low cloud and mist. only 9 or 10 degrees in aberdeen or newcastle. heading west and south we could see 17 degrees in south wales and england. next weekend and the following week the area of low pressure could affect southern parts with some rain and we could see rain pushing into the start of next week. high pressure will continue to hold on across the north of the uk bringing a lot of dry weather across the northern half of the uk. you could see colder influx moving down from the northeast but generally speaking will stay mild. it would be a north, south divide into that weekend we could see a few showers across southern areas stay drier in the north but a lot of dry weather in the forecast as we head into the following week and at times it will turn cold in the north and milder in the south. we're live in ukraine, as russia strikes targets nationwide. in the city of lviv, in the west, seven people die as parts of the country previously unscathed come under fire. ukrainians believe this is a reminder from russia that it still has firepower and is prepared to use it. ukrainians believe this is and in the east — residents prepare as president zelensky say a new offensive has begun. we have a special report from inside the donbas region. the other main headlines tonight at 10... scotland's first minister apologises for failing to wear a face covering, just days before the rules there changed. mps get ready to return to westminster with the prime minster

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