Low. And when you look at there is at a lot of talk, iowans have had cold. Yes, they have. You look at the last Caucus Events, most have been in the 30s and 40s you. Had 2004 at 16 degrees. But that high temperature on monday will probably only get to Minus 4 degrees. That would be the coldest Caucus Event that iowa has ever seen. And, again, its 30 degrees below average. Iowa gets cold, but not this cold. 30 degrees below average. A Cold Snap coming the first of the season so far. Iowa is in the midst of their warmest winter on record so far. So shock to the system. They havent had cold like this in quite some time. Pretty amazing, such a warm winter, and just in these couple days. Fascinating. All right. Thank you so much. And next, first it was ron desantis. Were going win iowa. Were going to win iowa. Were going win allen weisselberg. Iowa. Things have changed. Hours before the caucuses, its
The season for them so far. Iowa is in the midst of their warmest winter on record so far. So its a shock to the system. They havent had cold like this in quite some time. Pretty amazing, such a warm winter, and just in these couple days. You know, fascinating. All right. Thanks so much. And next, first it was ron desantis. Were going win iowa. Were going to win iowa. Were going win iowa. Things have changed. Now just hours before the caucuses, its this. Were going to do well. I like being underestimated. Desantis is the candidate perhaps with the most to lose tomorrow. So what does he have to do to be seen as a winner . Plus Nikki Haley stepping up her attacks on trump. Is the cririticism, ththough, t Little T too late
Why is that . The reason is because shes his ultimate competitor. After iowa and after New Hampshire, there will be two people standing, donald Trump And Nikki haley. Hes trying to take her down because his goal was to wrap up the nomination by the time New Hampshire got done. Win iowa big, win New Hampshire big. Its probably not going to happen to his liking. When you consider hes the frontrunner, nikki haleys been criticized for not going after him, not really coming for him. Sort of scurrying around it. She says that her idea is whether someone is maga or not, its not the issue. Its the economy and other things. Do you agree or should she be going after him because hes going after her . In a state like iowa where Donald Trump is very strong, trump should be over 50 , its really a race for a strong second. In iowa she has to be careful
Caucuses the last time around in 2016 just to give you a little sense, 8 36 esche eastern time. 7 36 iowa time. We got our first report. This man may be filling in. But in terms of 99 counties here what are we going to be looking for in them . Let me give you a few different ideas. I think well use 2016 here sort of as a Guide Post in splitting up the state. Remember, first, trump lost iowa in 2016. Ted cruz beat him by three points. And Marco Rubio was only a point behind trump. He almost beat trump for second place. Why did Ted Cruz Win Iowa and Donald Trump didnt in 2016 . One word, you were just talking about it. Evangelicals. They made up 64 of the Iowa Republican Electorate in 2016. The formula here in modern iowa caucuses, you win the evangelical vote, you win the caucuses. Thats how Mike Huckabee did it in 2008, Rick Santorum in 2012. Ted cruz over Donald Trump in 2016. With that in mind there are 42 counties of these 99 that voted
former astronaut mark kelly and republican senator martha mcsally are now tied at 42%. mike barnicle. again to, to reinforce what e just heard, state polls and what happens in states are far more important at this stage of the campaign than the national stuff. but jason, with regard to bernie sanders poll standings in any state, iowa, new hampshire, i don t care, anyone who has ever covered bernie sanders or knows bernie sanders or watches bernie sanders knows that, a, he is not going away, and he is certainly not going to allow this to continue without a fight so at what point and what happens negatively or positively if he decides to go after elizabeth warren that s already been happening online the sanders campaign, you ve had surrogates criticize the working family party s endorsement you ve had many of them remind people of elizabeth warren s long and questionable relationship with native american communities in the