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Transcripts for MSNBC Decision 2024 Primaries Caucuses 20240604 22:40:00

Caucuses the last time around in 2016 just to give you a little sense, 8 36 esche eastern time. 7 36 iowa time. We got our first report. This man may be filling in. But in terms of 99 counties here what are we going to be looking for in them . Let me give you a few different ideas. I think well use 2016 here sort of as a Guide Post in splitting up the state. Remember, first, trump lost iowa in 2016. Ted cruz beat him by three points. And Marco Rubio was only a point behind trump. He almost beat trump for second place. Why did Ted Cruz Win Iowa and Donald Trump didnt in 2016 . One word, you were just talking about it. Evangelicals. They made up 64 of the Iowa Republican Electorate in 2016. The formula here in modern iowa caucuses, you win the evangelical vote, you win the caucuses. Thats how Mike Huckabee did it in 2008, Rick Santorum in 2012. Ted cruz over Donald Trump in 2016. With that in mind there are 42 counties of these 99 that voted

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