after elizabeth warren, it s almost an admission that it is a top two tier race and he s the guy running in a distant third. claire had an interesting take in the last hour about this, i want to ask you because she is your former senator colleague, kamala harris in this latest nbc news poll she s down eight points to 5% in a statistical tie with andrew yang somewhere below mayor pete buttigieg. how do you explain where she is in this race right now i think she has got a real challenge going forward because, you know, joe biden has really jealously guarded his dominance in the african-american vote, and kamala talk about iowa, i mean, if you really want to draw a parallel to what barack obama did, barack obama surprised black voters in iowa they could no longer say i m not sure i don t want my heartbroken. i don t think a black man can win after he won iowa, and that s why you had such a coalesce ens around his
so i think how do we tackle bid biden, i think it s potentially the biggest problem. that we are heading towards a new what the world needs now his strongest source of support election and we will see the same things play out is african-american voters you ve got to think of the south that is very, very worrying. lets turn to yesterday s carolina primary there the question is can he survive look i think we have to start to impeachment hearing. to south carolina because look regulate the types of behavior democrats struggle to get answer at the calendar again, if from former trump campaign online so deceptive behavior online manager corey lewandowski. elizabeth warren for that matter you can say bernie sanders or it was contentious as democrats something that seems organic is attempted to get more somebody else, if elizabeth a whole campaign of online blogs information from a key part of warren were to win iowa, it s the mueller report that claims eight days between iowa and new a
united states. here s where bernie sanders is going to have difficulty there s no conspiracy here there s no hillary clinton this year there s no candidate that s received 30 years of sexism and whose ethics and things have been questioned. at the end of the day, if bernie sanders can t start winning some of these primaries as we go into next year, he s not going to be able to claim the system is rigged if he loses to three or four people. that s the big challenge he s going to have. i don t think this year and we saw this in some of the angry reactions to how the democrats handled the hearing yesterday and before there is such a frustration amongst democratic voters at this point, you re not going to see the splits of 2016. you re not going to see the splits of 2018 people are going to rally around whoever the candidate is whether it s elizabeth warren or joe biden. with all due respect, though, you mentioned he s already doing that online. online is different than the sidewalks
her eventually but others will be beginning to go after her now, and especially, i think, some of those candidates trying to get into the circle of five, and i think this fight over whether or not she can pay for what she s trying to do or whether she can even accomplish what she s promising is going to become more in focus. so jim, we have a new poll also out from iowa this morning that shows a dead heat between joe biden and elizabeth warren, the first votes will be cast there. joe biden s up actually eight points and that poll is with warren up about three points they re in a statistical tie in that state i m interested to hear from you on this, a lot of people have drawn a parallel for elizabeth warren to barack obama in 2008 in terms of her lack of support in places like south carolina and how much that changed for barack obama when he won iowa in 2008 how critical is the state of iowa, not just this time but always in determining the trajectory for candidates who
percent white states when critics say, hold on, we there s warren leading among are under attack white voters right now doing he says, you can t link this to particularly well among activists, liberal voters, folks me online cyberer militia have who are going to turn out in nothing to do with me. caucus caucuses we have seen this formula before in democratic primaries. these are always concerned joan kerry in 2004 he was running 10% with black voters. leader. he won iowa, new hampshire, next so much talk about russia in this country and he wrote a great book that russia is doing thing you know he s won 56% of the black vote she s leading among white clint has explained it to us the to the wait did frowe just win-ners. prouders last two years voters you see a potential path for her what can be done to combat this? everyone uses their phone differently. there. if you can do well, if you can that s why xfinity mobile let s you design breakthrough in iowa and new it feel like knocking do