As a learning opportunity for students. We have students involved in the process. We Contact People from North Carolina only. We started doing a statewide poll. Live caller with students being the callers. Now we do online and live caller. With covid because of restrictions we have on campus, we have had to temporarily go to online only. Almost everyienced method of survey people from North Carolina. Fare inw did your polls 2016 . What have you changed . Guest that is a great question. In 2016, the polling average had Hillary Clinton up by 3. 3 . We know that donald trump won the state. We were in the middle that. We recognized that something was wrong with our sampling. We tried to look at who really turned out versus what we were predicting . Theirllsters weight samples to try to predict what the turnout will be. We looked very carefully at that. We adjusted our turnout models based on 2016 and 2018 to get a more accurate model. We adjusted the questions in our survey to try to get a
Poll. Live caller with students being the callers. Now we do online and live caller. With covid because of restrictions we have on campus, we have had to temporarily go to online only. Almost everyienced method of survey people from North Carolina. Fare inw did your polls 2016 . What have you changed . Guest that is a great question. In 2016, the polling average had Hillary Clinton up by 3. 3 . We know that donald trump won the state. We were in the middle that. We recognized that something was wrong with our sampling. We tried to look at who really turned out versus what we were predicting . Theirllsters weight samples to try to predict what the turnout will be. We looked very carefully at that. We adjusted our turnout models based on 2016 and 2018 to get a more accurate model. We adjusted the questions in our survey to try to get at whether people were telling us the truth. In 2016 that an small group of people were not honest about their support for donald trump. Host the latest mer
Together, a podcast. He joins us now to talk about the tar heel state. Why is North Carolina important this year compared to 2016 . Guest it is continuing to become a microcosm of the nation. We are a split nation. We have urban centers that continue to grow and become more democratic. We have our rural areas that are more conservative. Those are shrinking. The state is changing. The economy is changing. Athink it represents microcosm of the entire country. Host where do the polls stand right now . Guest it is razor thin. Most of the polls show joe biden up one to three points the hallway. The real clear politics average is 0. 7 in favor of joe biden. Hase 1976, North Carolina only voted twice for a democratic president. Im in the camp of i will see it when i believe in. I dont think it could not happen, there is a strong chance it could. Host when you take a look at 2016 and the president s victory ere, three Percentage Points, votes. By 173,000 why is this race tight now . Host befor
Row seat to democracy. Announcer now a discussion on youth and world but are out of reach with the North Carolina Democratic Party anderson clayton, who happens to be the youngest state already chair in the country. She highlighted ways young people can get involved in the political process while speaking with the washington post. This is basically a lot of things that are falling on your shoulders, and i want to talk to you about how you are advising the campaign and what are some of the things you are doing in North Carolina to make a lot of voters feel the Democratic Party is listening to them. That is a great question. Joe biden laws North Carolina in 2020 by 74,000 votes, and a lot of people look at it as though that is the opportunity stake this year, and i agree with them. We have a huge opportunity to reach out to democrats that did not turn out in 2020 and also did not turn out again in 2020 2022 for Cheri Beasley because they have not felt into tapped into or energized or mot
Thank you for having me on, i appreciate the opportunity to be here. I want to start on the National Level, the Biden Campaign is really zeroing in on North Carolina, your member back in 2020, biden had a couple of stops that work exit there, but it did not seem to be enough. And then this is something on the National Level that democrats seem to be needed to make more inroads and that is something that is a big platform for you. But i know that a democrat has never had has not one since obama. This is something that is falling on your shoulders, and i want to talk to you about how you are advising the campaign and what are some of the things that you are doing in North Carolina to drum up that support and make voters feel that the Democratic Party is listening to them. Thats a great question. Joe biden lost North Carolina by 4000 votes and a lot of people look at it as the it is the opportunity state this year and i agree with them. I think that we have a huge opportunity to really re