We welcome you on the simulcast. Bloomberg radio and Bloomberg Television across this nation and worldwide. This due of news is just extraordinary. An important moment will be Lawrence Kudlow after the jobs report. But jon, i want to talk for a moment about the markets. Affected. Oeing come up 5 . Igit 13 on the s p 500 yeartodate, and the nasdaq 100, lisa has loaded the boat on the nasdaq, up 38 . This is a boom and great bull market. Jonathan record on the nasdaq, just off that on the s p 500. The market has ignored all of the bad stuff over the last month and held onto all of the good stuff. Does that change in 29 minutes . The payrolls report, the estimate for hunted 60,000 the estimate 460,000. Tom Kevin Cirilli talking about the enthusiasm to get something done. We will talk about that in the moment. I love what greg peters of pgim said in the opening credits, the idea that everybody is looking for every bit of yield. To me that has been undersold story this week about how other
He said simply, this doesnt matter, and december could be green. Could be grim. Jonathan the markets are looking at the data in the second half of 2021, not 2020. Tom jon will get to the data of a market lifting and all of that. This ecb announcement a bit ago is buried, and im sorry, it just sets up the theme of extend and pretend into 2021. They are going to extend bond buying forever and ever. It is Central Banks to the rescue. Jonathan the ecb wants you to focus on the duration of the Bond Buying Program and not the size of the package they might announce this week. That has been a big push on the communications side. I imagine that will be the focus for them when they communicate with us. For us, we are all getting used to the idea that Central Banks will be there for us. Weve been conditioned by that all year. The biggest challenge through 2020 was to somehow divorce how you feel about the world around you from your view on financial markets, on where we will be 12 months out. Th
Interesting to see the 2021 look forwards. All we have is good conversation and a look at the tea leaves. Lisa is going to talk about jobless claims and all the rest of it, but i want to look at the granularity. Is a pandemic ago stock, and there is the reality which i believe you mentioned yesterday. I cant remember which property you mentioned it on. You know what . Retail is really struggling. Jonathan this is the story. A stock like macys has done pretty well over the past week, but that is the difference between the ketchup trade the catchup trade and a durable trade. I think that is the story for hours. T couple of we got to get through the next couple of months. Tom i mean, it is a comedy. But this is not funny. In south australia, you can now not walk your dog because of pandemic fears. Talk ofes of the macro the Bloomberg New Economy Forum and the realities that lisa has been talking about here day by day. That gets your attention. Jonathan and initial jobless claims will get
The russell 2000, another alltime high, up 2. 1 . The s p 500 up a solid 1. 5 . Important is the cyclical reopening rotation we had happening in recent weeks, often it comes at the cost of tech but that is not happen today. The nasdaq 100 is up 1 . This is a bully lock cyclical rotation on the expectation of normalizing economy this is a goldilocks cyclical rotation on the expectation of normalizing economy. I know we have been talking about whether or not it will last. If we take a look at the sectors on the month, it does suggest the cyclical rotation is on the way. Take a look at energy, up 30 . Heading toward its best monthly performance ever. That is the foam oh buying we have around that is the fomo buying we have around energy, but also financials. We have stocks off to the races. Taylor is interesting as we talk about the reflation trade in the outlook for politics. We are looking at bond yields up three basis points on the 10 year, five basis points on the 30 year that goes in
That really picked up after the good jobs number. That is the election uncertainty lets get back to election uncertainty. Joe biden has taken the lead in pennsylvania and georgia, remains ahead in nevada and georgia. We expect updates from all four today. For more, we are joined by Bloomberg Government congressional reporter emily wilkins, at the biden headquarters in wilmington, delaware. What is the latest . Emily the Biden Campaign has a tricky thing to do today. They have to continue to project confidence that biden is going to be the winner. That is what it is looking like right now. But what he also has to do is make sure that he doesnt get out there and declare victory. Biden has already said he cannot declare victory, trump cannot declare victory, but that they need to wait for the votes to be counted and for it to be called. Thank, indeed. Bloombergs thank you very much, indeed. Bloombergs emily wilkins. Lets bring in Josh Wingrove in washington. The Trump Campaign saying this