the dobbs decision came down, republicans were outperforming 2020 performance but if you look at the special elections after republic and tend to do poorly, they still one in new york state and nebraska and minnesota but narrow margins than expected, is that something republicans are worried about as they go forward? i think it clearly is. also there are unique circumstances in special elections, new york state which is the hudson river value, democrats have 18000 voter registration advantage. the democrat only one by about 2500. you see increased migration among liberals from the city up to that area. in minnesota, that the district probe trump and the minnesota republican in that outperformed republicans and 2020 and did better than any other republicans and that area. in nebraska republic and stick worse than republicans 2020 but there was a unique circumstance
immigrants and reflects in the favorability rating for joe biden. he went from high 30s to low 40s but again among the electorate, electorate is not just democrats and if you look at it, abortion issue is a recent a pool, the eighth most of one issue and inflation and crime in the economy and jobs and immigration and the border, all. reporter: and then the issue of abortion to the voters who will make the outcomes of this for another in older independent. paul: if you look at the wall street journal , to after inflation is the head of the two behind the economy into the head of inflation so abortion has been coming up but i want to ask you about the generic voting, ballot between republicans and democrats.
his attempt to write for republicans after labor day historically? attempt to rise for the party out of power after everyday midterm elections so my suspicion his we get closer to the election we will see maybe slightly towards republican but the democrats need an advantage on the generic ballot to wind. the one throwing this up in the air is the presence of donald trump, we are entering our fourth week for we have been talking about not inflation or immigration, not even the democratic agenda, we ve been talking about donald trump and mar-a-lago search for the classified records that stopped the normal dialogue we would see to the advantage of the democrats and disadvantage of the republicans. paul: especially because trump isn t even on the ballot this year. what you make of president biden s speech thursday night
message? i think this is the key. it was easy before the dobbs decision for politicians to take basically total views on abortion, either total ban or no research is on abortion because it didn t matter. you have roe v. wade the law of the land. after the dobbs decision we see it clearly the case that the politicians have to take a more nuanced position in sync with opinions of the general public which are not total us and either extremes. at the moment the issue seems to be the burden on republicans to talk about why they do not favor total ban on abortion and some of these republican candidates masters in arizona for senate candidate scrubbing websites saying they are only against late-term abortion or partial birth abortions. i think we republicans have the opportunity to present democrats
where as i read it, he tried to inject trump in the center of the campaign and though he s not on the ballot? this is the only way they can save themselves. we have the biden administration is not done well and i go back donald trump essentially the same time in 2018 the public race and republicans lost 42 seats in the house so the white house is desperate to do anything it can to make it not an election about biden and his performance an office and issues that have risen during his time there but donald j trump it was extraordinary to appear, okay fine but to put the u.s. marines behind you to give it an official event i thought was over the top and the speech was weird because there different points, i will unite the country, maga republicans are a threat to democracy.