but my first guest says productions could be premature. karl rove is a wall street journal columnist and fox news jupiter and served as senior advisor to president george w. bush. welcome, good to see you. look at the polling, it seems undeniable, democrats have had a rally had had democrat versus republican polling generic pulling showing it even. what is wrong with that story? if democrats are even, it generally means they will lose, a lot more places around the country where congressional districts where there are 85% democrat and not as many 85% public and districts so the democrats need a lead on that. we ve had great midterm election predictors for republicans with generic ballot tide or a quarter or two behind. the democrats have had a good couple of months but they exaggerate how good they are and ignoring the fact they started from a deep place. president biden s approval rating today in the 538.com averages 42 at the same time in 2018, donald trump s was 40 and
the dobbs decision came down, republicans were outperforming 2020 performance but if you look at the special elections after republic and tend to do poorly, they still one in new york state and nebraska and minnesota but narrow margins than expected, is that something republicans are worried about as they go forward? i think it clearly is. also there are unique circumstances in special elections, new york state which is the hudson river value, democrats have 18000 voter registration advantage. the democrat only one by about 2500. you see increased migration among liberals from the city up to that area. in minnesota, that the district probe trump and the minnesota republican in that outperformed republicans and 2020 and did better than any other republicans and that area. in nebraska republic and stick worse than republicans 2020 but there was a unique circumstance