At 4 00 though sometimes go into extra innings but at least we got some sports, it happens to be in the form of a stock market had sports gamblers descend because they have Nothing Better to do, nothing else to do. Does that explain the action today when the dow gained 131 points and s p claimed nasdaq jumped but be careful, there were late day reversals or just investors pouring money into the same members of the new high list based on a winners win philosophy maybe driven by foreign buyers honestly, at this point it could be all three and the problem with these constituent sees is they make things more dangerous for the rest of us how do i know this i made it up no let me first, i did some first class work by my friend david, the master of research at goldman sachs. In his mustread u. S. Weekly kick start, he talks about how Foreign Investors with largest net buyers of u. S. Stocks in the First Quarter and notes that there is a surge in retail trading. Retail meaning like regular peo
Climbing 8. 86 how do we interpret the market is the market heartless in response to the plea of the protesters is the Market Making judgments about the difference between violent protest and passive resistance i know many people wish it would. They want the market to be part of the debate. They want it to play a constructive role in the dialogue over racial ee qualiqur go down to express empathy for the troubled times were living through. Thats not how it works. The truth is the markets blind because it has no eyes its deaf because it has no ears its a convenient abstraction, not a personal opinion investors make judgments until recently nobody was investing with an eye toward making the world a better place whatever that might be now there is a Younger Generation of investors with hearts in their heads. I share the sentiment. For the most part people pick stocks because theyre trying to make money we buy stocks at companies, Good Companies with good longterm prospects. Mainly ones th
Is it a u . Maybe its an l. Or perhaps its a z. Or maybe its a w. Or a nike swish. We keep hearing people argue about the shape of the recovery. But this whole debate misses the point. The defining question of this market is very simple. Will we have a depression . Anything that makes a depression less likely causes stocks to explode higher thats what yesterdays rally was about. Even though we gave up some of the gains today, im calling it a consolidation day no matter what dow sinking, nasdaq dipping 5. 4 when you have a bag r big rally yesterday and it us diddant give up everything because of a Late Afternoon sell off, it is a of a kelgs. The issue is not whether well have a rapid v, recovery u, bounce the w, l shape, i dont know the l, of course, is the house of pain for ages maybe we havent started talking about the swish because of the Michael Jordan series. The market slows down dramatically all the people fretting about the shape of the recovery are getting ahead of themselves.
On the walls check out my twitter feed. See all the ridiculous speculative names people hope ill mention or pump same deal, no earnings, but right on stocks. These are textbook signs of what we call froth. Thats what this is. Its froth and you know what . All the froth got crushed today. Dow plunging 517 points, s p plummeting 117 , nasdaq nose diving 1. 55 not bad for an amateur so whats become too riskier let me give you an example last night kind of cool. We had novavax on, hottest stock on the market. Vaccine developer working on something for covid19 the stock runs from 18 to 40 in two days i cant recommend Something Like that thats this, you know, novavax is this, okay. Good guys, but it doesnt matter it actually managed to rally today. Maybe novavax wins the vaccine rate if they dont, the stock is going to get eviscerated id rather have you in something thats diversified glaxo, pfizer, j j same for biotech stocks. Anything related to ebola, flu, except regeneron they have little
Is it time to bet on stocks that thrive and rebound in the economy . Thats what todays action said. Dow gaining 359 points the s p rising 1. 47 that was easy ooh, and the nasdaq advancing 1. 1 buy, buy, buy with many of the biggest losers of the year leading the way. [ moo i say not so fast. Look, we all want to go back to normal even after we lift the lockdown, the new normal will be different from the old normal. Im tired of the cliche, normal this, normal that. Things have changed for starters the new normal is less investable i dont think it makes sense to fall into the gap of Carnival Cruise or attend live nation concert. The streets roared theyre compressed springs given how far theyve crashed, i think theyve got more legs to them hey, if i were a Hedge Fund Manager id do these stocks by tradein state by state openings if i were an investor like you, i would let them run if i was stuck in them, then escape for the stocks well be talking about later in the show. You have to unders