Things, our country looks a lot more like the juggernaut it used to be, and so does the stock market thats the only way to interpret the incredible pin action that we got today from adps incredible their National Employment report, and it showed that private Sector Employment decreased by just 2. 76 million jobs last month, when most economists were expecting something more like 9 million. Hallelujah. That and some early positive data about the opening of restaurants and casinos are how the dow surged 527 points today. S p jumped 1. 63 were gaining back all our losses here, people. You see this kind of animal spirits of the market coalescing with the pent up demand for ravenous consumers and you get the insane gains like we saw by the way, taking us to the most overbought level, 11. 1, in the s p since july 24, 2009. Any time its been this high, its actually okay well have to do more on that later this week. Look, i know there was a time really not that long ago when 2. 76 million job
Is it a u . Maybe its an l. Or perhaps its a z. Or maybe its a w. Or a nike swish. We keep hearing people argue about the shape of the recovery. But this whole debate misses the point. The defining question of this market is very simple. Will we have a depression . Anything that makes a depression less likely causes stocks to explode higher thats what yesterdays rally was about. Even though we gave up some of the gains today, im calling it a consolidation day no matter what dow sinking, nasdaq dipping 5. 4 when you have a bag r big rally yesterday and it us diddant give up everything because of a Late Afternoon sell off, it is a of a kelgs. The issue is not whether well have a rapid v, recovery u, bounce the w, l shape, i dont know the l, of course, is the house of pain for ages maybe we havent started talking about the swish because of the Michael Jordan series. The market slows down dramatically all the people fretting about the shape of the recovery are getting ahead of themselves.
2. 3 trillion gauntlet against the economic catastrophe caused by the pandemic it was remarkable move coming within seconds of the devastating news that 6. 6 million more people filed for Unemployment Insurance last week the averages were actually able to rally including the down and out stocks dow gaining 286 points s p climbing 1. 54 nasdaq advancing 7. 7 . Without powells extraordinary i was blown away extraordinary announcement, the hideous jobless claims would have pancaked the stock market. Weve gone from the strongest labor market in a half century to one of the weakest in no time flat it didnt matter to wall street because the fed is buying all kinds of distressed debt you dont see i keep saying its so important. Buying municipals. Some of those are hurting. Buy high yield Corporate Bonds thats fabulous news because those were two big pressure points in this rapidly deteriorating economy. What a difference from the old days between the 2. 2 trillion rescue package from congress
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