Announcement that the Global Economic downturn due to the corona virus pandemic will be worse than initial estimates so compared to the april 1 of the Economic Outlook we are projecting a deeper downtown in 2020 and a c. E. O. At a company in 2021 to growth to 2020 is projected at minus 4 point one percent which is 1 point one percent points below our april focused now this reflects the fact that in the 1st half economic outcomes came in somewhat worse than we had anticipated and because there is no medical suit you should we are expecting social distancing to persist for more for a long time into the 2nd half. And downgrading the growth for crest for 2021 the i. M. F. Expects a growth rate of 5. 4 percent instead of earlier estimates of 5. 8 percent the fund is predicting an 8 percent contraction in the United States in 2020 while the eurozone economy will decline by 10. 2 percent brazil will take a 9 point one percent hit with the economy of mexico shrinking by as much as 10. 5 perce
2021 the i. M. F. Expects a growth rate of 5. 4 percent instead of earlier estimates of 5. 8 percent the fund is predicting an 8 percent contraction in the United States in 2020 while the eurozone economy will decline by 10. 2 percent brazil will take a 9 point one percent hit with the economy of mexico shrinking by as much as 10. 5 percent just this year now the Organization Also pointed to a catastrophic toll d on the labor market due to the pandemic saying there quine in work hours for the 2nd quarter will be the equivalent of losing 300000000 full time jobs worldwide the funds chief economist also spoke about the unpredictable nature of the pandemic making it difficult to judge where the worlds economy will head in the near future so there is tremendous uncertainty around the focused on the one hand you could get positive news you could have this news on the scenes and on treatments and great a policy support and that can trigger a fast as a company. But on the other hand there are
Patagonia, rei and north face. Theyre calling on advertisers to boycott facebook through july for allowing racist, violent and verifiably false content on its platforms. Facebook is taking steps reviewing the policies and commitmented to equality and Racial Justice will this boycott pose a major threat to facebooks futures we always said it doesnt matter unless advertisers start to pull out. Is this the beginning of the trickle becoming a more sizable flow. Its an interesting flow, unless your a part of the free hans solo crowd, some people know what im talking about, i find it fascinating those three Companies Made the list. With that said, i think it is a big deal because its not going to be the end. Its just the beginning. To your point. And weve said when advertisers start to pull away this is the existential risk they face market clearly doesnt clear valuation wise 25 times next years earnings, facebook isnt really that expensive, but this is a exist existential risk in my opinion
1. 1 but underneath, it was insane after a big dip at the opening, the market came roaring back into the black. This was a day when both the recession stocks and the recovery stocks worked long term thats just knot sustainable. Sooner or later, someone, one of these two groups has to be wrong but short term as were taught, anything goes. Let me break this one down for you. This market has two big themes, completely contradictory and a third team thats down right apocalypse first, the american awakens train. The people who buy into this thesis, well, they believe the government made a terrible mistake locking down the economy. Im part of that group we wont make that mistake again. Now that the country is reopening, they expect people to go out and spend and return to work as they see it for all intensive purposes, the pandemic is behind us the worst is over. We have a better understanding how to treat covid and in the fall it wont be on the radar screen despite records in florida and te
Board. We are off the lowest levels of the day. The dow is at 25,290 there is the nasdaq. Concerns about the virus and new hot spots around the country are part of the conversation as i look at moves, i see a lot of buys that suggest youre optimistic about the reopening of this country. Yeah, thanks scott. When i look at my portfolio as a whole, i have a heavy bias to the nasdaq 100 the qqqs which have done so well i think that as we are reopening that if you look at technically, a lofts tt of stocks like south six flags, they all look similar. They are starting to make higher lows and higher highs. I think as the reopening happens, this is where theres still risk but we think its compensated risk longer term to own some of these epicenter names that we think as the summer happen, as the reopening is happening, i dont feel comfortable just owning the nasdaq 100 and sitting in apple and microsoft and amazon i want to diversify that this is buying low feels like. Theres a million reasons