The other party, you could do an amazing job there now, much better than you ever could before. But there are other things that are at play as well. For example, population sorting. Theres a wonderful book that some of you might want to read by a guy named bill bishop called the big sort. And he basically talks about how people, in a sense, they kind of vote with their feet in that people tend to move and concentrate with people like themselves. People are more comfortable when theyre with likeminded people, and that this is becoming more and more and more so. And that when you look at, say, democratic districts or look at, look geographically across the country, what are the districts the democrats tend to represent . They tend to be large urban areas and close in suburbs and college towns. And then you say, okay, where do republicans live . Small town, Rural America and in the more outer reaches which are the faster growing of the suburbs. But thats a clear population pattern or poli
Backlash against republicans. Why does this tend to happen in second terms . Think about when a brandnew president is elected and you are young enough to remember in 2009 , whether you were democrat or republican, liberal, moderate, conservative, there was a real curiosity how this new president is going to do and howxcitement, passion, is this guy going to do . Y people wanted the country to do well after tough times, and that is fairly typical when a new president is elected. But over time, the novelty wears for myd over time decisions are made, tough, governing decisions are made that tend to tick people off, and that the fresh, new ideas and to dissipate some. The team that elected the president lycian really, they generally go off and make money. So they have the cteam on the field. The final thing is chickens come home to roost, things that you said or did in the first term come back to you, and they will thingsou on your ass, like that come back to haunt you in the second term.
History with the possible exception of Eleanor Roosevelt has touched so many of us in such a personal way. Because i lost my mother to breast cancer, betty ford is a heroin to me. Because my family has been victimized by alcoholism and i know what it is to watch good, fine people stare into their personal despair, i will be forever grateful for the betty ford clinic and for the millions of other people whose lives have literally been turned around and often say you may not have gone to that clinic but went somewhere because she showed them it was not wrong. For a good person and a strong person to be imperfect and ask for help. You gave us a gift and we thank you. [applause] [captioning performed by national captioning institute] [captions Copyright National cable satellite corp. 2014] tomorrow night, our first dys encore continues with rosalynn carter. She traveled to latin american as his official envoy. She supported the equal rights amendment and she supported a bill in congress th
Good morning. Welcome to the campaign institute. Im candy nelson, the academic director. This is the 35th year that we have existed. We started as a bipartisan training institute. The first speaker today is charlie cook, editor and writer for the cook political report. Charlie is a political analyst for washington journal. National journal. He has always been very generous of his time and will start us off by talking about the political environment going into 2014. Charles cook. [applause] [applause] thank you, candy. First of all i want to compliment all of you for your decision to participate in cmi because hardly a month goes by that i dont run into somebody somewhere that didnt say, i met you, or i first heard you at the American University Campaign Management institute and ive been doing this for really long time. I remember my favorite story about the cmi was back in the, either very late 80s or probably early 90s. A friend of mine. Leland bill sweeney was helping to run the prog
Sure we will have a debate on the issues going forward. Questions . I am a longtime member of the club. Very impressive personality. An honorary southeastern citizen. Your question, please . On the five mystical things would you please respond to the senator five mystical things. Thank you very much. They were not mystical they were mystical. I have to say i cant write them all down. It has stymied negotiations at least from my perspective. The disagreement as whether or not part of disagreements or deaths of votes we will have additional revenue contribution achieved by closing some of the tax breaks. Reducing some of the tax expenditures. Mentioned some symbols, and i urge all of you to take a look , some symbols called for more revenue. Then the president s budget. I am glad a lot of our colleagues have embraced the framework and balanced, but sometimes they leave out the fact that some symbols concluded additional revenues concluded from the tax report. They have tax reform, but al