please, please, please be patient. that is right, because we know how votes get counted and it s different by state. we know, for instance, in pennsylvania, that the way votes get counted in pennsylvania, this is a reminder from 2020, but still true. they can t even open and process absentee ballots until polls open on tuesday morning. it s going to take a while. there s going to be a substantial absentee vote. that favors democrats. just a reminder, two years ago, this is going to be very similar. you see joe biden initially jumped out to a huge lead when polls closed in pennsylvania. take a look, noon on wednesday, donald trump with a 500,000 vote lead. keep watching that time line, and then on thursday, november 5th, donald trump s lead gets down to 121,000 votes. 50.3 to 48.4. biden takes the lead on friday, november 6th at 10:00 a.m., a 5,000 vote lead. some of us remember this distinctly. and we called it on saturday at 11:24 a.m., and by the way, when all the votes were co
begin processing and counting that absentee mail until polls open on election day. it will take some time. there s going to be a substantial amount of absentee vote and it will take time to count. on election night, when this first starts filling in, i would imagine mehmet oz has a big lead. whether or not he wins, i don t know. election day vote, which tends to be more republican, will be counted first. before the absentee vote, which tends to be more democratic. so the more pro fetterman vote will fill in as the night and possibly days wear on. an example as a reminder is to go back to the 2020 presidential election, okay? let me come out here and use georgia as an example. 7:16 p.m. in 2020, votes just start coming in. donald trump way ahead. watch that time stamp, okay?
blue and election night. but keep your focus on nevada, arizona, wisconsin, pennsylvania, and georgia. these battleground states will determine which party controls the senate. i want to talk specifically about pennsylvania for a moment. because this is what i mean by pack your patience. it is the fetterman/oz senate race. we know in pennsylvania election officials cannot open ballots and begin processing and counting that absentee mail until polls open on election day. and it is going to take some time. there is going to be a substantial amount of absentee some time to count. so on election night when this starts filling in, i would imagine mehmet oz will have a big lead. whether or not he wins, i don t know. but he s going to come out front with a big lead because election day vote will be counted first before the absentee vote which tends to be more democratic. so the more pro-fetterman vote will fill in as the night and
wisconsin, pennsylvania and georgia. these battleground states will determine which party controls the senate. i want to talk specifically about pennsylvania for a moment because this is what i mean by pack your patience. it s the tpertman/oz race. they cannot even open ballots and processing and count the absentee mail until polls open on election day. it will take time to count. on election night, when this first starts filling in, i imagine mehmet oz will have a lead. election day vote, which tends to be more republican, will be counted first before the absentee vote, which tends to be more democratic. it will start to fill in as the night and possibly days rolls on.
tuesday night. but we will see on tuesday night, this is a lot of red first. why? because in pennsylvania, the elections officials are not allowed to open up process and begin counting all the absentee mail vote until the polls open on tuesday. that s not true in every state but a state like pennsylvania, which could prove critical, that means the processing doesn t begin until tuesday morning. it s going to take a while. we know republicans tend to show up in greater numbers on election day in person. democrats tend to show up in greater numbers in the preelection vote, that absentee by mail or in person vote. counting the election day vote which we expect they will count first in pennsylvania, this is going to be favorable to republicans initially. and as the absentee vote, it s not the height of the pandemic like 2020, but it s substantial. that starts to fill in with the democratic vote. and expectations is everything here. you saw how the former president