, you want to get a few points above 60%. that s where he just got a big boost from the early and absentee votes. that s expected, as i said. democrats do best with the early and absentee. but, one thing i can tell you by cans paris, in this same batch of in 2020, joe biden got 77% of the early absentee vote in all-star county in 2020. ryan is getting basically 80% of the early absentee in holster county what s gonna happen, is there going to start counting up the same day votes. and in the same day vote it s only vastly more republican the ryan number is going to come down and the ryan wants the land above where biden ran in 2020. there are other parts where
the police. trump impeachment lawyer dan goldman in the lead in new york tenth congressional district, he is claiming victory with a one percentage point advantage but the race has not been called. temperature closest challenger julie niou said she won t concede until every absentee vote is counted. then the big race democrat pat ryan has defeated republican mark molinaro in a tight race in new york s 19th district. this was a special election to fill the seat vacated by now lieutenant governor antonio delgado a swing district biden won by two points. political experts viewed this as a litmus test as to whether or not, well, which party has momentum heading into november. molinar 0 made this campaign a referendum on president biden
we re gonna see some of the smaller ones around the state. this isn t too small. but here, you re looking at, again, you ve got the absentee vote from sweet water county, and hageman is already running well over 70% of the vote here. they re gonna end up with 5000, 6000, 7000 votes or so totally out of this county, and hageman is already ruling up the score against liz cheney. there s a lot of sweet water counties, just making sure they are political leanings. so, you put those two together right away, and you don t have the makings of the kind of surprised that liz cheney was hoping for. where could she look on this map? i mean, this is geographically big, we are jackson hole s. this is an anomaly in wyoming. this is a blue county. biden won it by 32 points. while geographically big, it only makes up about 5% of the primary vote. cheney will do well there. albany county down here, again, this is where the university of wyoming, this is the only other counting the state that joe biden
but here is the deal, voters can rank up to four choices including write ins, a candidate with the lowest vote total is eliminated. here is the key thing, in order to win you have to have at least 50% of the vote plus one and none of the candidates are close to that at this point. there s so much absentee vote out left. when we say we don t know we mean we don t know. people are going to have to wait. we are going to have to wait. only the first choice of votes will be available. reallocating will not begin until all the absentees are received and the final deadline for receipt is 15 days after the election. we were talking before this segment. could the vote shift around? it could, in fact. nick begitch could easily jump into second place. it s really confusing. a lot to be determined. too early to tell. harry enten, thank you very much. thank you. also during her impassioned
behind by 900 votes to donald gives a trump backed challenger. here is the problem for my or if we zoom into this district. there are three counties parts of three counties that make up this district. the biggest is meyer space, that s grand rapids, meyers doing well in that county that part of the districts, what s keeping him afloat. the problem is this. if you break down the vote right now, when you look at the absentee vote, the vote by mail portion, by far the biggest part of the district can t county, mayer is winning the mail vote by 21 points. he is losing the same day vote by 11. that same day vote as come in its moved gibbs back into the league. although i just saw a few more votes came in its meyer friendly, so the margin is down to 572 votes. very close here. the problem for meyer, same day