immigrants coming up there. if they get the right to vote eventually, they could vote for democrats. you have beto o rourke who did well. you have got julian castro resonating with the voters. what do you think? it is not going to happen? ainsley: no? why do you say that? they said it was close last time. all the polls were wrong. he won by 10 points. he will win by much bigger margin. it will be a landslide for trump. we love trump here. these pollsters using same old tired methods they used last time. it is just not going to happen. trump will take texas. there is no doubt about it. ainsley: if you look approval rating among republicans in your state or in the state of texas it is 87%. they really like president trump. ted cruz got 50.9% as a senator when he ran against beto o rourke. beto got 48.3. that was pretty close. we had done much better if trump had been at the top of the ticket. i give beto o rourke credit.
smain has 49 sinema has 49.3%. mcsally at 48.3%. that s with 84% of the votes there certified. thousands of people are evacuating because homes and buildings are engulfed. look at the latest pictures we have coming in from california. we ll tell you what s going on with those massive wildfires. plus, new details in the hush-money scheme surrounding president trump and adult film star stormy daniels. the wall street journal saying then-candidate trump was involved in the payments. alexa, play weekend mix. the new lincoln mkc. connecting the world inside, with the world outside. so you can move through both a little easier.
.you re about to find out! you don t even know where i live. hello! see the grinch in theaters by saying get grinch tickets into your xfinity x1 voice remote. a guy just dropped this off. he-he-he-he. martha: back with more of these new numbers as they just are coming in. take a look at arizona. brand-new numbers that just came in where it appears democrat kristen cinemas lead gone from 9,000 votes to 21,000 votes. up to 39.4% to make sally s 48.3%. president trump is crying foul in this race as well, tweeting out in arizona signatures don t matter, electoral corruption, call for a new election question mark. the maricopa county vote recorder intentionally destroyed
congress come november. he is set to hold rallies in three western states this week. montana, arizona and nevada. each home to one of the closest senate races in the country. joining menow, emily dishes - - editor at the federalists. these are three type of states when it comes to senate races. we can look at the polls from real clear politics. the average of polls in montana puts the incumbent john tester 48.3 percent. his opponent, macros and deal at 45.3. president trump is especially unhappy with john tester and he would like to see a republican get that seat. that s the interesting angle here and that s what i expect to be on full display when he heads to montana this week. it is a personal distaste after what happened with ronny jackson. he felt tester railroaded his nominee to head of the va. and that really, you can see
i think no matter who wins tonight that we will see both parties probably make quite a big deal out of this. if you re an incumbent or somebody thinking about jumping in one these congressional races that are going to be critical to watch in 2018 were you re going to be looking to read the tea leaves here and see what your chances are given as david noted the electoral history. this not been considered a swing district but the numbers were so close in the election. let me put those up and david will discuss in the 2016 election donald trump got 48.3%, hillary clinton got 46.8%. four years earlier, that s 48, 47 you can see he barely squeaked out his win in that district. and 2012 mitt romney, the republican nominee got 60.8%, president obama s 37.5%. . so 23-point swin a lot bicker than a one-point win. it is. and therefore it s the kind of voters that have proven had the the kind of republican voters that have proven elusive for donald trump.