northeast portion of the state. this will be key, mahoney county, president trump pulled off a very narrow victory in this county. this is white, working class, deeply religious socially conservative and as of late we heard from vance sayings a lost democrats especially in mahoney valley so that will be a key county to watch. lot of counties in ohio. let s bring in j.d. vance ohio republican senate candidate. good to see. thank you. we will get to the extremist weirdo aspect in a second but i put up polling averages that have you at 47.3 percent, challenger tim ryan 45.3. it s about where other polls have the race tied. how do you think you could make the difference in the next 13 days and pull off victory november 8?
anyone was willing to believe. [shouting] ruined [bleep] americans behind. you leave americans behind. will should leave you behind. we re back with our panel the president there trying to speak out on climate change and getting a bit of heckling in the process. take a look at the real clear politics average of how he is doing right now. his poll numbers have been dropping. his approval is at 45.3% on average. disapproval 49.5%. juan, those numbers have been steadily going in the wrong direction for the president. they were before afghanistan and since the chaotic withdrawal they have only continued downward. he wants to move on to a different part of his agenda. does he have the political capital to do it? well, i think that, you know, it s clear that, you know, long before the withdrawal, you had afghanistan and a forever war, the forgotten war. and now without u.s. troops on the ground, shannon, i think it s going to be in the rear
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nebraska, one electoral vote at stake. 57% of the estimated vote in. biden with 16,000 vote lead over trump, 53.4% to 44.8%. arizona, 75% of the estimated vote in, biden has impressive 203,000 vote lead over trump. 53.5% to 45.1%. in minnesota right now. 61% of the estimated vote in, biden has 220,000 vote lead over trump there as well. 54.3% to 43.6%. there s more states. continue the alert right now. ohio right now. 88% of the estimated vote in, trump has impressive 434,000 vote lead over biden in ohio. 53.2% to 45.3%. north carolina, 95% of the vote in. 75,000 trump lead over biden. 50% for trump, 48.7% for biden.
we have a key race alert. the two congressional districts, nebraska and maine. one electoral vote in each. right now in nebraska s second congressional district, joe biden is ahead by about 28,000 votes. 54.tlaet%. yep% of the estimated vote is now in. in maine, 40% of the estimated vote is in. trump has a narrow lead. 51.1% to 45.3%. it is still outstanding in maine. the second congressional district. it is a crazy time. you never know. had. i ll come over and do some math on that in a minute. it gets fascinating. one is here in nebraska. you sue at the blue in the eastern part of the state. that s where democrats, omaha, the suburbs, the democrats just doing better in those areas in recent years. the president carried the second