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senate races. yes, we re gonna start, as we always have, in that same state which is georgia. raphael warnock is actually ticked into the lead here, but man, look how close this is. 12,631 votes right now. of literally millions. you can see it on the screen. separating warnock from walker, again, both under 50%. the question remains, can someone get to the point where they avoid a runoff? or we look at it four more weeks of this fight that we ve seen 94% of the vote in in georgia. let s check it down on pennsylvania, which is turning out to be our other linchpin, john fetterman 49.2%, mehmet oz 48.3%. you heard jake and john king really breaking down where some of the votes are out, near fetterman seems to be outperforming what biden did in some of the rural counties, we re still waiting on those big numbers in counties like philadelphia, 88% of the vote in but this really could be where the senate hinges.
democrats have 44 of them republicans have 46 of them. there are ten seats remaining, ten seats remaining. and cnn reminds, you of course, that republicans just need to pick up one notch republican seat, won that democratic seat in order to take control of the u.s. senate. so, that is where we. our 44 to 46. and casey hunt has some announcement for us at the senate desk. we do, jake. and this really shows you, to john king s point, that we are getting down to the brass tacks here in the senate, as we try to figure out which way it s going to go, perhaps by one seat. and let s start, as always, in georgia, where herschel walker has a very narrow lead over raphael warnock, just 15,000 votes, such a small amount considering the millions that have been cast. but that 88% of the vote in their, election officials are saying we might not know tonight. pennsylvania john fetterman is at 49.2%, and mehmet oz at 48.3%, 37 votes
election results. let s get back to steve kornacki at the big board. steve? this has been a close one. we just got a major development and the special election and new york s 19th congressional district. pat ryan, the democrat, we saw him leading all night. we saw the margin shrinking all night. we have been asking when this thing ends. will ryan still be north of 50%? a big piece of the puzzle was a seagull county. we just had an outstanding vote here, now we have all the votes in from otsego county. you can see the republican mark molinaro ends up winning here, 51 and a half to 48.3, essentially a three-point margin for molinaro. that is significant because for ryan, that represents an improvement over how joe biden did in this county in 2020.