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Scientists have long predicted that climate change will increase the frequency and intensity of extreme weather events, like tropical cyclones, in the Asia–Pacific region. Now, with four decades of observable data, it’s clear that the problem is no longer a hypothetical but a formidable challenge requiring a complex array of strategic policy decisions to support national and regional resilience. If the 2019–20 bushfire and cyclone seasons and Covid-19 are anything to go by, the Australian Defence Force is going to be central to many, if not all, of the government’s national disaster response and resilience policies. This increased domestic response will have implications for the ADF’s ability to meet future demands for humanitarian assistance and disaster relief (HADR). Collectively, these increasing domestic and international disaster response responsibilities will inevitably divert ADF capability from its core task of protecting Australia and its national interests.

New south walesSouth australiaSouth china seaBrunei generalAustralian capital territoryMark mcgowanAtmospheric administrationDepartment of theNational oceanicAustralian defenceRoyal commissionNational disaster arrangementsAustralian defence forceTropical cyclone serojaWestern australiaSouth pacific