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Analysis of surface observations and satellite imagery indicate three areas of active convection.
i) Severe tropical storm Marian evolving in the Australian region. This system will not interest the Mascarene Islands
ii) A marked low pressure area to the northeast of Rodrigues. Last night this low intensified into a tropical disturbance. Latest observations indicate that it has now reached the tropical depression intensity.
At 1000 hours this morning it was centred at about 880 km to the east-northeast of Rodrigues and is moving in an east-southeast direction at a speed of about 25 km/h, that is, it is moving away from Rodrigues. This tropical depression is likely to intensify further and will become a Moderate Tropical Storm by the end of the day. In the event of this scenario, this system will be named HABANA. Most Numerical Weather Prediction Models affirm that this system will continue to track towards the east southeast and therefore, will not directly
Figure 1. A false colour RGB composite satellite image of southern Africa, Madagascar and the southern Indian Ocean region at 12h00SAST today, Wednesday 17 February 2021. Moderate Tropical Storm “Guambe” is visible as an impressive swirl of deep convective cloud development, obscuring a large portion of the Mozambique Channel. Image courtesy EUMETSAT 2021
The prolonged spell of heavy rain and widespread flooding which tropical cyclone Eloise brought to southern Africa, scarcely a month ago, is still fresh in the minds of the general public.
Now, a fresh tropical system named Guambe has developed and is currently intensifying in the southern half of the Mozambique Channel.
Southern Africa – Tropical Cyclone Eloise Flash Update No.6, As of 23 January 2021
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HIGHLIGHTS
Tropical Cyclone Eloise made landfall near Beira City in Sofala Province, Mozambique in the early hours of 23 January.
After landfall, Eloise downgraded to a Moderate Tropical Storm bringing heavy rains and strong winds in Sofala Province.
The most immediate concern is the potential for significant flooding, including in the days ahead.
Eloise is expected to continue to move inland, bringing heavy rains to southern Zimbabwe, northern South Africa and far eastern Botswana.
SITUATION OVERVIEW
Tropical Cyclone Eloise made landfall in central Mozambique on 23 January at around 2 a.m., near the coastal city of Beira, with winds of 140 km/h and gusts up to 160 km/h, according to Mozambique’s National Institute of Meteorology (INAM). Beira received 250 mm of rain in 24 hours, according to INAM, while other areas that were flooded ahead of Eloise’s landfall including Buzi and Nh
Updated
Anastasi Mokgobu
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The South African Weather Services (SAWS) has warmed of very hot and uncomfortable weather conditions over some parts of the country from Wednesday and through the weekend.
Photo: Pixabay
Gauteng is peaking at the highest of 31 °C and is expected to get even hotter; however, the SAWS says the country has not reached heatwave conditions.
“From today (Wednesday) and for the next couple of days we are not expecting any rain in Gauteng, but just warm to hot temperatures.
At the moment we don’t have a heatwave, temperatures have not reached a threshold for a heatwave. It’s just normal hot temperatures,” says Weather Services forecaster, Kholofelo Mahlangu.