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Analysis of surface observations and satellite imagery indicate three areas of active convection.
i) Severe tropical storm Marian evolving in the Australian region. This system will not interest the Mascarene Islands
ii) A marked low pressure area to the northeast of Rodrigues. Last night this low intensified into a tropical disturbance. Latest observations indicate that it has now reached the tropical depression intensity.
At 1000 hours this morning it was centred at about 880 km to the east-northeast of Rodrigues and is moving in an east-southeast direction at a speed of about 25 km/h, that is, it is moving away from Rodrigues. This tropical depression is likely to intensify further and will become a Moderate Tropical Storm by the end of the day. In the event of this scenario, this system will be named HABANA. Most Numerical Weather Prediction Models affirm that this system will continue to track towards the east southeast and therefore, will not directly influence weather over the Mascarenes.