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CPO prices seen to be firmer

PETALING JAYA: Rising crude palm oil (CPO) prices, which have hit a 13-year high, may have peaked as further upsides could be capped by increases in inventory levels.
Malaysia’s palm oil inventories rose to their highest level in four months in March, gaining 11% month-on-month to 1.45 million tonnes.
The growth, naturally, beat the consensus forecast. The benchmark palm oil futures closed up RM76 at RM3,726 per tonne yesterday.
TA Securities in a report yesterday said it remains cautious about a possible pullback in CPO prices in the second half of 2021. “However, we still expect the average CPO price for 2021 to be firmer and higher than 2020. ....

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IJM Plantations core Q4 net profit seen at RM28mil

PETALING JAYA: The potential slow recovery of crops will make IJM Plantations Bhd
’s near-term fresh fruit bunches (FFB) growth prospects appear to be unexciting.
With the crude palm oil (CPO) price upside being capped, Kenanga Research expected the upstream agri-business group’s near-term prospects to remain tepid stemming from the flat FFB growth guidance for financial year 2022 (FY22).
In its latest report on IJM Plantations, the research unit said the planter’s production cost for FY22 should creep higher toward RM2,100 per tonne given the anticipated higher cost of fertiliser by 7%-10% year-on-year.
“We estimate the core net profit (CNP) in the fourth quarter of FY21 of about RM28mil as the higher CPO price is negated by lower FFB output. ....

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Tight supply of palm oil seen to keep CPO prices up

Peaking: An oil palm plantation worker in action. With the low inventory level of palm oil and global edible oil supplies, the average CPO price recorded a new monthly high in March.
PETALING JAYA: Despite some anticipating a crude palm oil (CPO) price correction after recording a new monthly high last month, the tight supply of palm oil is likely to keep the commodity price elevated.
With the low inventory level of palm oil and global edible oil supplies, the average CPO price recorded a new monthly high in March, where prices rose 4% month-on-month (m-o-m) and 70% year-on-year (y-o-y) to RM4,042 per tonne. ....

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Encouraging 4Q earnings paint a brighter outlook for 2021

THE earnings season for the fourth and final quarter of 2020 has yet to come to an end a one-month extension was given by the regulators as a temporary relief measure because of the Covid-19 pandemic but based on companies that have already submitted their reports, results are encouraging.
A quick look at 270 listed companies on Bursa Malaysia with a market capitalisation of RM500 million or more shows that 151 recorded an improvement in quarterly earnings while 119 reported a decline.
RHB Research, in a March 2 strategy note, describes the December 2020 quarter as encouraging, with 2021-2022 forecast core earnings still largely intact notwithstanding a last-minute RM2.83 billion global settlement provision by AMMB Holdings Bhd and excluding positive earnings revisions for rubber glove stocks. ....

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Editor's take: The week that was
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