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Powell s Taper Timing Talk Boosts Dollar, Evergrande Fears Ease
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Powell s taper timing talk boosts dollar, Evergrande fears ease
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Week Ahead - Dollar rally accelerates on Hawkish Fed - MarketPulse
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April 30, 2021SharePrint
Everyone on Wall Street is trying to figure out if the peak in Treasury yields will stick for a while now that the US is approaching peak growth. The best expansion since World War 2 is being accompanied with a Fed that remains committed to supporting the economy until a complete recovery. The playbook for many traders appears to be the Fed could announce at the June FOMC or at the Jackson Hole Symposium that they are ready to start talking about tapering, paving the way for a gradual reduction of the $120 billion per month in asset purchases.
Another busy week ahead has several key economic releases, central bank speak, and a couple of big interest rate decisions. In the US, traders will closely watch the ISM Manufacturing reading and Market PMIs, durable goods, factory orders, and the nonfarm payroll report, which could show over a million jobs were created in April. We will hear from ECB’s Lagarde, Fed Chair Powell and his colleagues Daly, Kashkari
Week Ahead: Rising Treasury Yields will make this an interesting FOMC decision
March 12, 2021SharePrint
The bond market seems determined to make this an interesting FOMC policy decision. Treasury yields have been surging after the Biden administration passed the $1.9 trillion COVID relief bill and set a May 1
st goal of getting vaccines to all adults. The Fed welcomes a steeper yield curve, but the current trajectory could be disruptive to the economic recovery. Market participants want to know how quickly do yields need to rise to raise concerns of tighter conditions or trigger disorderly markets? The taper tantrum might get priced in a lot sooner by Wall Street, but the Fed will patiently wait until economic indicators confirm the recovery remains much later in the year.